OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2024 Income and Cost Budgets

Free State – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat for Eastern and Central Free State
Area Eastern Free State Central Free State
Crop Wheat Wheat
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.50 2.50
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2024 R/ton 6 247 6 247
Total deductions R/ton 831 813
– Transport differential R/ton 385 367
– Grade differential R/ton 352 352
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 94 94
Price premiums / Canola back-payment R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 417 5 435
Gross income R/ha R13 541 R13 586

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha 950 950
Crop insurance R/ha 420 1 087
Fertilizer R/ha 2 780 2 363
Lime R/ha 487 603
Seed R/ha 699 699
Fuel R/ha 870 1 234
Herbicide R/ha 758 682
Insecticide R/ha 117 241
Fungicides R/ha
Marketing costs R/ha 50 50
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 763 763
Casual labour R/ha
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 34
Total variable expenditure R/ha R7 928 R8 671
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 171 R3 468
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R5 613 R4 915
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 245 R1 966
Break-even yield T/ha 1.46 1.60
Break-even price R/ton R3 171 R3 468
Source: VKB, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2024.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Free State (Eastern and Central regions)
Graph showing baseline gross margin comparison of the Free State

Gross margin per hectare: Central Free State

Wheat sensitivity analysis: Eastern Free State
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
R4 417 -199 905 2 009 3 113 4 217 5 321 6 425
R4 667 238 1 405 2 571 3 738 4 905 6 071 7 238
R4 917 676 1 905 3 134 4 363 5 592 6 821 8 050
R5 167 1 113 2 405 3 696 4 988 6 280 7 571 8 863
R5 417 1 551 2 905 4 259 5 613 6 967 8 321 9 675
R5 667 1 988 3 405 4 821 6 238 7 655 9 071 10 488
R5 917 2 426 3 905 5 384 6 863 8 342 9 821 11 300
R6 167 2 863 4 405 5 946 7 488 9 030 10 571 12 113
R6 417 3 301 4 905 6 509 8 113 9 717 11 321 12 925
Wheat sensitivity analysis: Eastern Free State
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
R4 435 -910 198 1 307 2 415 3 524 4 633 5 741
R4 685 -473 698 1 869 3 040 4 212 5 383 6 554
R4 935 -35 1 198 2 432 3 665 4 899 6 133 7 366
R5 185 402 1 698 2 994 4 290 5 587 6 883 8 179
R5 435 840 2 198 3 557 4 915 6 274 7 633 8 991
R5 685 1 277 2 698 4 119 5 540 6 962 8 383 9 804
R5 935 1 715 3 198 4 682 6 165 7 649 9 133 10 616
R6 185 2 152 3 698 5 244 6 790 8 337 9 883 11 429
R6 435 2 590 4 198 5 807 7 415 9 024 10 633 12 241

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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