OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2024 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Caledon region)
Area Southern Cape: Caledon
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.40 3.40 2.10 2.60 1.75
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2024 R/ton 6 247 6 247 7 476 6 247 4 916
Total deductions R/ton 1 115 974 172 951 198
– Transport differential R/ton 817 817 827 98
– Grade differential R/ton 176 124
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 123 33 172 124 100
Price premiums / Canola back-payment R/ton 71 748
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 132 5 185 8 051 5 296 4 718
Gross income R/ha R17 450 R17 630 R16 908 R13 771 R8 256

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 50 51 49 40
Fertilizer R/ha 3 425 3 459 3 350 2 829 1 286
Lime R/ha 227 227 227 190 190
Seed R/ha 873 708 1 445 878 1 174
Fuel R/ha 728 748 719 708 645
Herbicide R/ha 1 216 888 1 086 847 797
Insecticide R/ha 189 165 609 140 178
Fungicides R/ha 871 1 279 667 509 478
Marketing costs R/ha 118 108 21
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 858 833 858 759 471
Casual labour R/ha 11 12 13 11 7
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 157 163 152 121 121
Total variable expenditure R/ha R8 725 R8 641 R9 195 R7 033 R5 347
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 566 R2 542 R4 379 R2 705 R3 055
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R8 725 R8 989 R7 713 R6 738 R2 910
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 566 R2 644 R3 673 R2 592 R1 663
Break-even yield T/ha 1.70 1.67 1.14 1.33 1.13
Break-even price R/ton R2 566 R2 542 R4 379 R2 705 R3 055
Source: Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2024.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Caledon region)
Graph showing gross margin comparison for Southern Cape (Caledon region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Overberg, Caledon

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.70 2.95 3.20 3.40 3.70 3.95 4.20
R4 132 2 432 3 465 4 499 5 325 6 565 7 598 8 631
R4 382 3 107 4 203 5 299 6 175 7 490 8 585 9 681
R4 632 3 782 4 940 6 099 7 025 8 415 9 573 10 731
R4 882 4 457 5 678 6 899 7 875 9 340 10 560 11 781
R5 132 5 132 6 415 7 699 8 725 10 265 11 548 12 831
R5 382 5 807 7 153 8 499 9 575 11 190 12 535 13 881
R5 632 6 482 7 890 9 299 10 425 12 115 13 523 14 931
R5 882 7 157 8 628 10 099 11 275 13 040 14 510 15 981
R6 132 7 832 9 365 10 899 12 125 13 965 15 498 17 031
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.70 2.95 3.20 3.40 3.70 3.95 4.20
R4 185 2 659 3 706 4 752 5 589 6 845 7 891 8 938
R4 435 3 334 4 443 5 552 6 439 7 770 8 879 9 988
R4 685 4 009 5 181 6 352 7 289 8 695 9 866 11 038
R4 935 4 684 5 918 7 152 8 139 9 620 10 854 12 088
R5 185 5 359 6 656 7 952 8 989 10 545 11 841 13 138
R5 435 6 034 7 393 8 752 9 839 11 470 12 829 14 188
R5 685 6 709 8 131 9 552 10 689 12 395 13 816 15 238
R5 935 7 384 8 868 10 352 11 539 13 320 14 804 16 288
R6 185 8 059 9 606 11 152 12 389 14 245 15 791 17 338
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.35 1.60 1.85 2.10 2.35 2.60 2.85
R7 051 324 2 087 3 850 5 613 7 376 9 139 10 902
R7 301 662 2 487 4 313 6 138 7 963 9 789 11 614
R7 551 999 2 887 4 775 6 663 8 551 10 439 12 327
R7 801 1 337 3 287 5 238 7 188 9 138 11 089 13 039
R8 051 1 674 3 687 5 700 7 713 9 726 11 739 13 752
R8 301 2 012 4 087 6 163 8 238 10 313 12 389 14 464
R8 551 2 349 4 487 6 625 8 763 10 901 13 039 15 177
R8 801 2 687 4 887 7 088 9 288 11 488 13 689 15 889
R9 051 3 024 5 287 7 550 9 813 12 076 14 339 16 602
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 301 R7 551 R7 801 8 051 R8 301 R8 551 R8 801
1.10 -9 888 -9 613 -9 338 -9 063 -8 788 -8 513 -8 238
1.35 -8 063 -7 726 -7 388 -7 051 -6 713 -6 376 -6 038
1.60 -6 238 -5 838 -5 438 -5 038 -4 638 -4 238 -3 838
1.85 -4 412 -3 950 -3 487 -3 025 -2 562 -2 100 -1 637
2.10 -2 587 -2 062 -1 537 -1 012 -487 38 563
2.35 -762 -174 413 1 001 1 588 2 176 2 763
2.60 1 064 1 714 2 364 3 014 3 664 4 314 4 964
2.85 2 889 3 602 4 314 5 027 5 739 6 452 7 164
3.10 4 714 5 489 6 264 7 039 7 814 8 589 9 364

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The canola back-payment assumes 10% of contracted price.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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