OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


2022/2023 SUMMER CROPS  //  Income and Cost Budgets

KwaZulu-Natal – dryland

Income and cost budgets for maize and soybeans for KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier region)
KwaZulu-Natal: Bloedrivier
Crop Maize Soybeans
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 7.00 2.65
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2023 R/ton 4 442 8 836
Total deductions R/ton 468 310
– Transport differential R/ton 390 196
– Grade differential R/ton 18
– Handling and commission R/ton 60 59
– Seed breeding and technology levy R/ton 55
Price premiums R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 3 975 8 526
Gross income R/ha R27 824 R22 594

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 1 057 2 756
Fertilizer R/ha 7 969 3 753
Lime R/ha 655
Seed R/ha 3 242 1 404
Fuel R/ha 1 378 836
Herbicide R/ha 1 672 1 564
Insecticide / Fungicides R/ha 1 011 443
Marketing costs R/ha
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 734 466
Casual labour R/ha 309
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R18 026 R11 221
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 575 R4 234
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R9 799 R11 373
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 400 R4 292
Break-even yield T/ha 4.53 1.32
Break-even price R/ton R2 575 R4 234
Source: BFAP, GSA and individual farmers – 2022
Gross margin comparison – baseline: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier region)
Gross margin comparison - Baseline: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier Region)

Gross margin per hectare: KwaZulu-Natal (Bloedrivier)

Maize sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00 7.50 8.00 8.50
R3 575 1 636 3 424 5 211 6 999 8 786 10 574 12 361
R3 675 2 186 4 024 5 861 7 699 9 536 11 374 13 211
R3 775 2 736 4 624 6 511 8 399 10 286 12 174 14 061
R3 875 3 286 5 224 7 161 9 099 11 036 12 974 14 911
R3 975 3 836 5 824 7 811 9 799 11 786 13 774 15 761
R4 075 4 386 6 424 8 461 10 499 12 536 14 574 16 611
R4 175 4 936 7 024 9 111 11 199 13 286 15 374 17 461
R4 275 5 486 7 624 9 761 11 899 14 036 16 174 18 311
R4 375 6 036 8 224 10 411 12 599 14 786 16 974 19 161
Soybeans sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.80 2.05 2.30 2.65 3.00 3.25 3.50
R8 126 3 406 5 437 7 469 10 313 13 157 15 188 17 220
R8 226 3 586 5 642 7 699 10 578 13 457 15 513 17 570
R8 326 3 766 5 847 7 929 10 843 13 757 15 838 17 920
R8 426 3 946 6 052 8 159 11 108 14 057 16 163 18 270
R8 526 4 126 6 257 8 389 11 373 14 357 16 488 18 620
R8 626 4 306 6 462 8 619 11 638 14 657 16 813 18 970
R8 726 4 486 6 667 8 849 11 903 14 957 17 138 19 320
R8 826 4 666 6 872 9 079 12 168 15 257 17 463 19 670
R8 926 4 846 7 077 9 309 12 433 15 557 17 788 20 020
Soybeans margin above/below maize
Yield Price (R/ton)
R8 226 R8 326 R8 426 R8 526 R8 626 R8 726 R8 826
1.65 -7 447 -7 282 -7 117 -6 952 -6 787 -6 622 -6 457
1.90 -5 390 -5 200 -5 010 -4 820 -4 630 -4 440 -4 250
2.15 -3 334 -3 119 -2 904 -2 689 -2 474 -2 259 -2 044
2.40 -1 277 -1 037 -797 -557 -317 -77 163
2.65 779 1 044 1 309 1 574 1 839 2 104 2 369
2.90 2 836 3 126 3 416 3 706 3 996 4 286 4 576
3.15 4 892 5 207 5 522 5 837 6 152 6 467 6 782
3.40 6 948 7 288 7 628 7 968 8 308 8 648 8 988
3.65 9 005 9 370 9 735 10 100 10 465 10 830 11 195

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • Fertiliser assumptions (kg/ha): Maize N:P:K – 130:25:35. Soybeans N:P:K – 25:18:36.
  • Other macro- and microelements such as calcium, magnesium and zinc are included in the fertiliser costs.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The cost for soybean seed reflects a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • There will be large fluctuations for insurance cost (hail) based on the associated risk in respective areas. It is advised that producers adjust this cost based on their individual premiums.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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