OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2020 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Caledon region)
Area Southern Cape: Caledon
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.20 3.20 1.75 2.60 1.30
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2020 R/ton 4 741 4 741 5 500 3 500 4 000
Total deductions R/ton 722 651 30 4 4
– Transport differential R/ton 610 610
– Grade differential R/ton 3
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 109 41 30
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 65 550
Net farm gate price R/ton 4 019 4 031 7 020 3 497 3 997
Gross income R/ha R12 861 R12 899 R10 535 R9 091 R5 195

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 34 37 30 26 15
Fertilizer R/ha 1 865 1 880 1 837 1 466 404
Lime R/ha 156 156 156 131 131
Seed R/ha 594 509 1 278 456 940
Fuel R/ha 643 695 602 631 595
Herbicide R/ha 635 727 777 356 590
Insecticide R/ha 227 253 848 179 176
Fungicides R/ha 719 993 471 647 537
Marketing costs R/ha 58 72 17
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 759 761 715 758 727
Casual labour R/ha 7 7 7 13 13
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 115 120 110 93 93
Total variable expenditure R/ha R5 812 R6 209 R6 847 R4 756 R4 221
Total variable expenditure R/ton R1 816 R1 940 R3 912 R1 829 R3 247
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R7 049 R6 690 R3 688 R4 335 R975
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 203 R2 091 R2 108 R1 667 R750
Break-even yield T/ha 1.45 1.54 1.14 1.36 1.06
Break-even price R/ton R1 816 R1 940 R3 912 R1 829 R3 247
Source: Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, April 2020.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Caledon region)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Caledon region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Overberg, Caledon

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.20 3.50 3.75 4.00
R3 019 1 736 2 491 3 246 3 849 4 755 5 510 6 265
R3 269 2 361 3 178 3 996 4 649 5 630 6 447 7 265
R3 519 2 986 3 866 4 746 5 449 6 505 7 385 8 265
R3 769 3 611 4 553 5 496 6 249 7 380 8 322 9 265
R4 019 4 236 5 241 6 246 7 049 8 255 9 260 10 265
R4 269 4 861 5 928 6 996 7 849 9 130 10 197 11 265
R4 519 5 486 6 616 7 746 8 649 10 005 11 135 12 265
R4 769 6 111 7 303 8 496 9 449 10 880 12 072 13 265
R5 019 6 736 7 991 9 246 10 249 11 755 13 010 14 265
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.20 3.50 3.75 4.00
R3 031 1 369 2 126 2 884 3 490 4 400 5 157 5 915
R3 281 1 994 2 814 3 634 4 290 5 275 6 095 6 915
R3 531 2 619 3 501 4 384 5 090 6 150 7 032 7 915
R3 781 3 244 4 189 5 134 5 890 7 025 7 970 8 915
R4 031 3 869 4 876 5 884 6 690 7 900 8 907 9 915
R4 281 4 494 5 564 6 634 7 490 8 775 9 845 10 915
R4 531 5 119 6 251 7 384 8 290 9 650 10 782 11 915
R4 781 5 744 6 939 8 134 9 090 10 525 11 720 12 915
R5 031 6 369 7 626 8 884 9 890 11 400 12 657 13 915
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50
R5 020 -1 827 -572 683 1 938 3 193 4 449 5 704
R5 270 -1 577 -259 1 058 2 376 3 693 5 011 6 329
R5 520 -1 327 53 1 433 2 813 4 193 5 574 6 954
R5 770 -1 077 366 1 808 3 251 4 693 6 136 7 579
R6 020 -827 678 2 183 3 688 5 193 6 699 8 204
R6 270 -577 991 2 558 4 126 5 693 7 261 8 829
R6 520 -327 1 303 2 933 4 563 6 193 7 824 9 454
R6 770 -77 1 616 3 308 5 001 6 693 8 386 10 079
R7 020 173 1 928 3 683 5 438 7 193 8 949 10 704
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R5 270 R5 520 R5 770 R6 020 R6 270 R6 520 R6 770
0.75 -9 943 -9 756 -9 568 -9 381 -9 193 -9 006 -8 818
1.00 -8 626 -8 376 -8 126 -7 876 -7 626 -7 376 -7 126
1.25 -7 308 -6 996 -6 683 -6 371 -6 058 -5 746 -5 433
1.50 -5 991 -5 616 -5 241 -4 886 -4 491 -4 116 -3 741
1.75 -4 673 -4 236 -3 798 -3 361 -2 923 -2 486 -2 048
2.00 -3 356 -2 856 -2 356 -1 856 -1 356 -856 -356
2.25 -2 038 -1 476 -913 -351 212 774 1 337
2.50 -721 -96 529 1 154 1 779 2 404 3 029
2.75 597 1 284 1 972 2 659 3 347 4 034 4 722

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for producers to allocate them individually.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • Marketing cost assumes that approximately 15% of the wheat, barley and canola crop requires drying.
  • The cost of fertiliser reflects a combination of nitrogen, phosphorous, potassium and other macro and micro nutrients.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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