OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2023 Income and Cost Budgets

Northern Cape – irrigation

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley and canola for Northern Cape
Area Northern Cape
Crop Wheat Barley Canola
Production system Irrigation

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 8.00 7.50 3.50
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2023 R/ton 6 526 6 526 8 205
Total deductions R/ton 979 939 155
– Transport differential R/ton 625 625 129
– Grade differential R/ton 254 241
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 100 73 27
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 67 821
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 547 5 315 8 870
Gross income R/ha R44 377 R39 864 R31 045

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha 1 350 1 350 1 558
Crop insurance R/ha 2 751 2 472 1 242
Fertilizer R/ha 14 412 11 460 7 193
Lime R/ha 1 327 1 327
Seed R/ha 2 206 1 400 1 575
Fuel R/ha 1 628 1 585 1 294
Herbicide R/ha 426 426 2 454
Insecticide R/ha 1 226 261 589
Fungicides R/ha 352 276 1 267
Marketing costs R/ha 220 240 38
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 1 058 1 058 1 049
Casual labour R/ha
Irrigation: Water R/ha 1 146 1 174 1 089
Irrigation: Electricity R/ha 4 428 4 207 4 207
Aerial spray R/ha 840 280
Other expenditure: Scheduling / Irrigation Equipment R&M R/ha 897 858 858
Total variable expenditure R/ha R34 267 R28 374 R24 413
Total variable expenditure R/ton R4 283 R3 783 R6 975
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R10 110 R11 490 R6 633
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 264 R1 532 R1 895
Break-even yield T/ha 6.18 5.34 2.75
Break-even price R/ton R4 283 R3 783 R6 975
Source: GWK, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2023.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Northern Cape
Graph showing the baseline gross margin comparison for Northern Cape irrigation

Gross margin per hectare: Northern Cape

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 7.25 7.50 7.75 8.00 8.25 8.50 8.75
R4 547 -1 300 -164 973 2 110 3 247 4 384 5 520
R4 797 512 1 711 2 911 4 110 5 309 6 509 7 708
R5 047 2 325 3 586 4 848 6 110 7 372 8 634 9 895
R5 297 4 137 5 461 6 786 8 110 9 434 10 759 12 083
R5 547 5 950 7 336 8 723 10 110 11 497 12 884 14 270
R5 797 7 762 9 211 10 661 12 110 13 559 15 009 16 458
R6 047 9 575 11 086 12 598 14 110 15 622 17 134 18 645
R6 297 11 387 12 961 14 536 16 110 17 684 19 259 20 833
R6 547 13 200 14 836 16 473 18 110 19 747 21 384 23 020
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 6.75 7.00 7.25 7.50 7.75 8.00 8.25
R4 315 753 1 832 2 911 3 990 5 069 6 147 7 226
R4 565 2 441 3 582 4 724 5 865 7 006 8 147 9 289
R4 815 4 128 5 332 6 536 7 740 8 944 10 147 11 351
R5 065 5 816 7 082 8 349 9 615 10 881 12 147 13 414
R5 315 7 503 8 832 10 161 11 490 12 819 14 147 15 476
R5 565 9 191 10 582 11 974 13 365 14 756 16 147 17 539
R5 815 10 878 12 332 13 786 15 240 16 694 18 147 19 601
R6 065 12 566 14 082 15 599 17 115 18 631 20 147 21 664
R6 315 14 253 15 832 17 411 18 990 20 569 22 147 23 726
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75 4.00 4.25
R7 870 -2 770 -802 1 165 3 133 5 100 7 068 9 035
R8 120 -2 082 -52 1 978 4 008 6 038 8 068 10 098
R8 370 -1 395 698 2 790 4 883 6 975 9 068 11 160
R8 620 -707 1 447 3 603 5 758 7 913 10 068 12 223
R8 870 -20 2 198 4 415 6 633 8 850 11 068 13 285
R9 120 668 2 948 5 228 7 508 9 788 12 068 14 348
R9 370 1 355 3 698 6 040 8 383 10 725 13 068 15 410
R9 620 2 043 4 448 6 853 9 258 11 663 14 068 16 473
R9 870 2 730 5 198 7 665 10 133 12 600 15 068 17 535
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R8 120 R8 370 R8 620 R8 870 R9 120 R9 370 R9 620
3.00 -10 162 -9 412 -8 662 -7 912 -7 162 -6 412 -5 662
2.75 -12 192 -11 505 -10 817 -10 130 -9 442 -8 755 -8 067
3.00 -10 162 -9 412 -8 662 -7 912 -7 162 -6 412 -5 662
3.25 -8 132 -7 320 -6 507 -5 695 -4 882 -4 070 -3 257
3.50 -6 102 -5 227 -4 352 -3 477 -2 602 -1 727 -852
3.75 -4 072 -3 135 -2 197 -1 260 -322 615 1 553
4.00 -2 042 -1 042 -42 958 1 958 2 958 3 958
4.25 -12 1 050 2 113 3 175 4 238 5 300 6 363
5.00 6 078 7 328 8 578 9 828 11 078 12 328 13 578

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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