OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


INCOME & COST BUDGETS  //  Summer Crops 2020/2021

North West (Koster) – dryland

Income and cost budgets for maize, soybeans and sunflower for North West in the Koster region
Area North West: Koster
Crop Maize Soybeans Sunflower
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 4.75 2.00 2.00
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2021 R/ton 2 552 5 897 5 979
Total deductions R/ton 227 143 292
– Transport differential R/ton 164 199
– Grade differential R/ton
– Marketing and handling R/ton 63 143 93
Price premiums R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 2 325 5 754 5 687
Gross income R/ha R11 043 R11 508 R11 373

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 233 1 288 330
Fertilizer R/ha 2 109 942 1 246
Lime R/ha 306
Seed R/ha 897 654 503
Fuel R/ha 894 733 729
Herbicide R/ha 1 043 538 183
Insecticide / Fungicides R/ha 42 66 17
Marketing costs R/ha
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 928 512 512
Casual labour R/ha 187 162
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R6 638 R4 735 R3 682
Total variable expenditure R/ton R1 397 R2 367 R1 841
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R4 406 R6 774 R7 692
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R928 R3 387 R3 846
Break-even yield T/ha 2.85 0.82 0.65
Break-even price R/ton R1 397 R2 367 R1 841
Source: BFAP, GSA, NWK and individual farmers – 2020.
Gross margin comparison – baseline: North West (Koster and Lichtenburg)
Gross margin comparison - Baseline: North West: Koster and Lichtenburg

Gross margin per hectare: North West (Koster)

Maize sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 3.25 3.75 4.25 4.75 5.25 5.75 6.25
R1 925 -382 581 1 543 2 506 3 468 4 431 5 393
R2 025 -57 956 1 968 2 981 3 993 5 006 6 018
R2 125 268 1 331 2 393 3 456 4 518 5 581 6 643
R2 225 593 1 706 2 818 3 931 5 043 6 156 7 268
R2 325 918 2 081 3 243 4 406 5 568 6 731 7 893
R2 425 1 243 2 456 3 668 4 881 6 093 7 306 8 518
R2 525 1 568 2 831 4 093 5 356 6 618 7 881 9 143
R2 625 1 893 3 206 4 518 5 831 7 143 8 456 9 768
R2 725 2 218 3 581 4 943 6 306 7 668 9 031 10 393
Soybeans sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75
R5 354 1 958 3 297 4 635 5 974 7 312 8 651 9 989
R5 454 2 083 3 447 4 810 6 174 7 537 8 901 10 264
R5 554 2 208 3 597 4 985 6 374 7 762 9 151 10 539
R5 654 2 333 3 747 5 160 6 574 7 987 9 401 10 814
R5 754 2 458 3 897 5 335 6 774 8 212 9 651 11 089
R5 500 2 140 3 515 4 890 6 265 7 640 9 015 10 390
R5 750 2 453 3 890 5 328 6 765 8 203 9 640 11 078
R6 000 2 765 4 265 5 765 7 265 8 765 10 265 11 765
R6 250 3 078 4 640 6 203 7 765 9 328 11 890 12 453
Sunflower sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75
R5 287 2 927 4 248 5 570 6 892 8 213 9 535 10 857
R5 387 3 052 4 398 5 745 7 092 8 438 9 785 11 132
R5 487 3 177 4 548 5 920 7 292 8 663 10 035 11 407
R5 587 3 302 4 698 6 095 7 492 8 888 10 285 11 682
R5 687 3 427 4 848 6 270 7 692 9 113 10 535 11 957
R5 250 2 881 4 193 5 506 6 818 8 131 9 443 10 756
R5 500 3 193 4 568 5 943 7 318 8 693 10 068 11 443
R5 750 3 506 4 943 6 381 7 818 9 256 10 693 12 131
R6 000 3 818 5 318 6 818 8 318 9 818 11 318 12 818
Soybeans margin above/below maize
Yield Price (R/ton)
R5 454 R5 554 R5 654 R5 754 R5 854 R5 954 R6 054
0.50 -6 413 -6 363 -6 313 -6 263 -6 213 -6 163 -6 113
0.75 -5 050 -4 975 -4 900 -4 825 -4 750 -4 675 -4 600
1.00 -3 686 -3 586 -3 486 -3 386 -3 286 -3 186 -3 086
1.25 -2 323 -2 198 -2 073 -1 948 -1 823 -1 698 -1 573
2.00 1 768 1 968 2 168 2 368 2 568 2 768 2 968
1.75 404 579 754 929 1 104 1 279 1 454
2.00 1 768 1 968 2 168 2 368 2 568 2 768 2 968
2.25 3 132 3 357 3 582 3 807 4 032 4 257 4 482
2.50 4 495 4 745 4 995 5 245 5 495 5 745 5 995

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • Fertiliser assumptions (kg/ha): Maize N:P:K – 81:18:8. Soybeans N:P:K – 10:15:8. Sunflower N:P:K – 54:9:0.
  • Other macro- and microelements such as calcium, magnesium and zinc are included in the fertiliser costs.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The cost for soybean seed reflects a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • There will be large fluctuations for insurance cost (hail) based on the associated risk in respective areas. It is advised that producers adjust this cost based on their individual premiums.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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