OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2020 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)
Area Southern Cape: Bredasdorp
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 3.00 1.60 2.40 1.20
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2020 R/ton 4 741 4 741 5 500 3 500 4 000
Total deductions R/ton 722 651 30 4
– Transport differential R/ton 610 610
– Grade differential R/ton 3
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 109 41 5 4 4
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 65 550
Net farm gate price R/ton 4 019 4 031 6 020 3 497 3 997
Gross income R/ha R12 058 R12 093 R9 632 R8 392 R4 796

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 35 35 28 24 14
Fertilizer R/ha 1 738 1 653 1 809 1 347 817
Lime R/ha 156 156 156 131 131
Seed R/ha 605 470 1 278 456 752
Fuel R/ha 668 722 688 631 711
Herbicide R/ha 807 701 758 606 515
Insecticide R/ha 260 272 623 102 150
Fungicides R/ha 685 1 075 411 465 199
Marketing costs R/ha 54 68 15
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 657 679 571 645 621
Casual labour R/ha 7 7 7 7 7
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 111 113 106 95 95
Total variable expenditure R/ha R5 782 R5 950 R6 448 R4 508 R4 011
Total variable expenditure R/ton R1 927 R1 983 R4 030 R1 878 R3 343
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R6 275 R6 144 R3 184 R3 884 R785
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 092 R2 048 R1 990 R1 618 R654
Break-even yield T/ha 1.44 1.48 1.07 1.29 1.00
Break-even price R/ton R1 927 R1 983 R4 030 R1 878 R3 343
Source: Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, April 2020.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Overberg, Bredasdorp

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R3 019 1 011 1 766 2 521 3 275 4 030 4 785 5 540
R3 269 1 574 2 391 3 208 4 025 4 843 5 660 6 477
R3 519 2 136 3 016 3 896 4 775 5 655 6 535 7 415
R3 769 2 699 3 641 4 583 5 525 6 468 7 410 8 352
R4 019 3 261 4 266 5 271 6 275 7 280 8 285 9 290
R4 269 3 824 4 891 5 958 7 025 8 093 9 160 10 227
R4 519 4 386 5 516 6 646 7 775 8 905 10 035 11 165
R4 769 4 949 6 141 7 333 8 525 9 718 10 910 12 102
R5 019 5 511 6 766 8 021 9 275 10 530 11 785 13 040
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R3 031 870 1 628 2 386 3 144 3 901 4 659 5 417
R3 281 1 433 2 253 3 073 3 894 4 714 5 534 6 354
R3 531 1 995 2 878 3 761 4 644 5 526 6 409 7 292
R3 781 2 558 3 503 4 448 5 394 6 339 7 284 8 229
R4 031 3 120 4 128 5 136 6 144 7 151 8 159 9 167
R4 281 3 683 4 753 5 823 6 894 7 964 9 034 10 104
R4 531 4 245 5 378 6 511 7 644 8 776 9 909 11 042
R4 781 4 808 6 003 7 198 8 394 9 589 10 784 11 979
R5 031 5 370 6 628 7 886 9 144 10 401 11 659 12 917
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.60 1.75 2.00 2.25
R5 020 -1 428 -173 1 082 1 584 2 337 3 592 4 847
R5 270 -1 178 139 1 457 1 984 2 774 4 092 5 409
R5 520 -928 452 1 832 2 384 3 212 4 592 5 972
R5 770 -678 764 2 207 2 784 3 649 5 092 6 534
R6 020 -428 1 077 2 582 3 184 4 087 5 592 7 097
R6 270 -178 1 389 2 957 3 584 4 524 6 092 7 659
R6 520 72 1 702 3 332 3 984 4 962 6 592 8 222
R6 770 322 2 014 3 707 4 384 5 399 7 092 8 784
R7 020 572 2 327 4 082 4 784 5 837 7 592 9 347
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R5 270 R5 520 R5 770 R6 020 R6 270 R6 520 R6 770
0.75 -8 771 -8 584 -8 396 -8 209 -8 021 -7 834 -7 646
1.00 -7 454 -7 204 -6 954 -6 704 -6 454 -6 204 -5 954
1.25 -6 136 -5 824 -5 511 -5 199 -4 886 -4 574 -4 261
1.50 -4 819 -4 444 -4 069 -3 694 -3 319 -2 944 -2 569
1.60 -4 292 -3 892 -3 492 -3 092 -2 692 -2 292 -1 892
1.75 -3 501 -3 064 -2 626 -2 189 -1 751 -1 314 -876
2.00 -2 184 -1 684 -1 184 -684 -184 316 816
2.25 -866 -304 259 821 1 384 1 946 2 509
2.50 451 1 076 1 701 2 326 2 951 3 576 4 201

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for producers to allocate them individually.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • Marketing cost assumes that approximately 15% of the wheat, barley and canola crop requires drying.
  • The cost of fertiliser reflects a combination of nitrogen, phosphorous, potassium and other macro and micro nutrients.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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