OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2020 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, canola and oats for Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
Area Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
Crop Wheat Canola Oats
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 1.65 2.70
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2020 R/ton 4 741 5 500 3 500
Total deductions R/ton 722 30 4
– Transport differential R/ton 610
– Grade differential R/ton 3
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 109 30
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 550 4
Net farm gate price R/ton 4 019 6 020 3 497
Gross income R/ha R12 058 R9 933 R9 441

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 31 29 27
Fertilizer R/ha 2 112 1 932 1 445
Lime R/ha 201 168 206
Seed R/ha 659 852 398
Fuel R/ha 472 408 444
Herbicide R/ha 1 023 527 404
Insecticide R/ha 123 164 96
Fungicides R/ha 620 418 206
Marketing costs R/ha 54 16
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 750 667 694
Casual labour R/ha 7 7
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 94 90 90
Total variable expenditure R/ha R6 139 R5 275 R4 016
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 046 R3 197 R1 487
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R5 919 R4 658 R5 425
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 973 R2 823 R2 009
Break-even yield T/ha 1.53 0.88 1.15
Break-even price R/ton R2 046 R3 197 R1 487
Source: Kaap Agri, GSA and BFAP, April 2020.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R3 019 654 1 409 2 164 2 919 3 674 4 428 5 183
R3 269 1 217 2 034 2 851 3 669 4 486 5 303 6 121
R3 519 1 779 2 659 3 539 4 419 5 299 6 178 7 058
R3 769 2 342 3 284 4 226 5 169 6 111 7 053 7 996
R4 019 2 904 3 909 4 914 5 919 6 924 7 928 8 933
R4 269 3 467 4 534 5 601 6 669 7 736 8 803 9 871
R4 519 4 029 5 159 6 289 7 419 8 549 9 678 10 808
R4 769 4 592 5 784 6 976 8 169 9 361 10 553 11 746
R5 019 5 154 6 409 7 664 8 919 10 174 11 428 12 683
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.65 1.75 2.00 2.25
R5 020 -255 1 000 2 255 3 008 3 510 4 765 6 020
R5 270 -5 1 313 2 630 3 421 3 948 5 265 6 583
R5 520 245 1 625 3 005 3 833 4 385 5 765 7 145
R5 770 495 1 938 3 380 4 246 4 823 6 265 7 708
R6 020 745 2 250 3 755 4 658 5 260 6 765 8 270
R6 270 995 2 563 4 130 5 071 5 698 7 265 8 833
R6 520 1 245 2 875 4 505 5 483 6 135 7 765 9 395
R6 770 1 495 3 188 4 880 5 896 6 573 8 265 9 958
R7 020 1 745 3 500 5 255 6 308 7 010 8 765 10 520
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R5 270 R5 520 R5 770 R6 020 R6 270 R6 520 R6 770
0.50 -8 558 -8 433 -8 308 -8 183 -8 058 -7 933 -7 808
1.00 -5 923 -5 673 -5 423 -5 173 -4 923 -4 673 -4 423
1.25 -4 606 -4 293 -3 981 -3 668 -3 356 -3 043 -2 731
1.50 -3 288 -2 913 -2 538 -2 163 -1 788 -1 413 -1 038
1.65 -2 498 -2 085 -1 673 -1 260 -848 -435 -23
1.75 -1 971 -1 533 -1 096 -658 -221 217 654
2.00 -653 -153 347 847 1 347 1 847 2 347
2.25 664 1 227 1 789 2 352 2 914 3 477 4 039
2.50 1 982 2 607 3 232 3 857 4 482 5 107 5 732

Notes

  • Please refer to Methodology, Approach and Definitions for in-depth interpretation of enterprise budgets.
  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for producers to allocate them individually.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • Marketing cost assumes that approximately 15% of the wheat, barley and canola crop requires drying.
  • The cost of fertiliser reflects a combination of nitrogen, phosphorous, potassium and other macro and micro nutrients.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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