6th summer crops forecast & preliminary winter cereals | 28 July

OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


Sixth summer crops forecast and preliminary winter cereal estimate for the 2026 production season
Sesde somergewas-produksieskatting en voorlopige wintergewas-oppervlakteskatting vir die 2026 produksieseisoen

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Fifth forecast
Vyfde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2026 2026 2026 2025 2025
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 664 700 9 390 790 9 282 690 1 635 000 8 500 000 1.16
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 051 500 7 971 850 7 971 850 1 030 000 8 225 000 0.00
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 716 200 17 362 640 17 254 540 2 665 000 16 725 000 0.63
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 570 100 874 805 910 530 555 700 708 635 -3.92
Soybeans / Sojabone 1 212 700 3 043 825 3 043 825 1 154 000 2 800 000 0.00
Groundnuts / Grondbone 44 650 57 798 57 798 48 750 63 350 0.00
Sorghum 45 000 143 578 149 053 41 350 154 000 -3.67
Dry beans / Droëbone 38 920 79 975 80 925 45 620 90 556 -1.17
Total / Totaal 4 627 570 21 562 620 21 496 670 4 510 420 20 541 541 0.31
Non-commercial Maize / Nie-kommersiële Mielies
Total maize / Totaal mielies 397 170 695 025 695 025 358 000 621 500 0.00
Maize / Mielies: Commercial / Kommersieël + Non-commercial / Nie-kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totaal mielies RSA 3 113 370 18 057 665 17 949 565 3 023 000 17 346 500 0.60

Notes/Notas:
Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2025/2026 = 2026
Estimate reflects current conditions to date, assuming the remainder of the season progresses normally.
Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2025/2026 = 2026
Skatting weerspieël die huidige toestande tot op hede, met die aanname dat die res van die seisoen normaal sal verloop.

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2016-2026   Produksie
Graph of the total maize production from 2016 to 2026
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Production   2016-2026   Produksie
Graph of sunflower seed production from 2016 to 2026
Soybeans / Sojabone
Production   2016-2026   Produksie
Graph of soybean production from 2016 to 2026
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2026 2026 2025 2025
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
200 4 000 4 200 1 840 38 000 39 840 200 3 500 3 700 1 900 32 525 34 425
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 000 42 500 45 500 40 500 680 000 720 500 3 000 43 500 46 500 37 950 700 350 738 300
Free State / Vrystaat
840 000 370 000 1 210 000 4 746 000 2 460 500 7 206 500 865 000 360 000 1 225 000 4 238 500 2 520 000 6 758 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
6 000 30 000 36 000 43 200 276 000 319 200 6 000 28 000 34 000 43 200 240 800 284 000
KwaZulu-Natal
47 000 72 000 119 000 305 500 640 800 946 300 50 000 66 000 116 000 325 000 617 100 942 100
Mpumalanga
172 000 368 000 540 000 1 032 000 2 704 800 3 736 800 168 000 362 500 530 500 1 142 400 2 918 125 4 060 525
Limpopo
16 000 20 000 36 000 108 800 170 000 278 800 10 000 18 500 28 500 71 000 159 100 230 100
Gauteng
60 500 65 000 125 500 356 950 477 750 834 700 57 500 70 000 127 500 382 375 549 500 931 875
North West / Noordwes
520 000 80 000 600 000 2 756 000 524 000 3 280 000 475 300 78 000 553 300 2 257 675 487 500 2 745 175
Total / Totaal
1 664 700 1 051 500 2 716 200 9 390 790 7 971 850 17 362 640 1 635 000 1 030 000 2 665 000 8 500 000 8 225 000 16 725 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 500 1 150 1 000 2 400
Free State / Vrystaat 309 000 494 400 264 500 383 525
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 500 1 000 700 1 435
KwaZulu-Natal 1 500 3 000 1 000 2 000
Mpumalanga 6 000 9 000 2 500 3 625
Limpopo 96 500 101 325 90 000 90 000
Gauteng 1 100 1 430 1 000 1 400
North West / Noordwes 155 000 263 500 195 000 224 250
Total / Totaal 570 100 874 805 555 700 708 635
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 200 700 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 7 000 2 000 7 600
Free State / Vrystaat 607 000 1 456 800 568 000 1 306 400
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 7 500 25 500 5 500 16 775
KwaZulu-Natal 44 000 178 200 47 000 183 300
Mpumalanga 314 500 707 625 315 000 771 750
Limpopo 17 500 63 000 16 500 51 975
Gauteng 55 000 126 500 52 000 114 400
North West / Noordwes 165 000 478 500 148 000 347 800
Total / Totaal 1 212 700 3 043 825 1 154 000 2 800 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 550 7 139 3 100 8 525
Free State / Vrystaat 16 750 21 775 21 800 29 648
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 0 0 0 0
KwaZulu-Natal 200 420 175 182
Mpumalanga 0 0 0 0
Limpopo 2 650 5 963 1 650 2 970
Gauteng 0 0 0 0
North West / Noordwes 22 500 22 500 22 025 22 025
Total / Totaal 44 650 57 798 48 750 63 350
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 200 100 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 000 2 500 950 2 280
Free State / Vrystaat 9 500 14 250 17 500 28 875
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 170 340 200 400
KwaZulu-Natal 1 250 2 500 3 000 5 100
Mpumalanga 1 900 3 040 2 320 4 176
Limpopo 17 700 44 250 11 100 30 525
Gauteng 800 1 520 950 1 900
North West / Noordwes 6 500 11 375 9 500 17 100
Total / Totaal 38 920 79 975 45 620 90 556
Sorghum
Area planted and sixth production forecast  2026  Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Sixth forecast
Sesde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2026 2026 2025 2025
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Free State / Vrystaat 10 500 28 350 13 000 47 450
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 100 300 200 620
KwaZulu-Natal 100 350 100 375
Mpumalanga 7 400 37 740 9 200 44 620
Limpopo 21 000 58 800 13 000 40 950
Gauteng 550 2 255 850 3 485
North West / Noordwes 5 350 15 783 5 000 16 500
Total / Totaal 45 000 143 578 41 350 154 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and sixth production forecast (2026) Oppervlakte- en sesde produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2026

Commercial maize

The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 17,363 million tons, which is 0,63% or 108 100 tons more than the previous forecast of 17,255 million tons. This is the largest maize crop on record. The area estimate for total maize is 2,716 million ha while the expected average yield is 6,39 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 3,81% or 637 640 tons more than the 2025 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpuma­langa and North-West provinces are expected to produce 82% of the 2026 crop.

The production forecast of white maize is 9,391 million tons, which is 1,16% or 108 100 tons more than the 9,283 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for white maize is 1,665 million ha with an expected average yield of 5,64 t/ha.

The production forecast for yellow maize remained unchanged at 7,972 million tons. The area estimate is 1,052 million hectares, with an expected average yield of 7,58 t/ha.

Other summer crops

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sun­flower seed is 874 805 tons, which is 3,92% or 35 725 tons less than the previous forecast of 910 530 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 570 100 ha, while the expected yield is 1,53 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans remained unchanged at 3,044 million tons. This is the largest soybean crop on record. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 1 212 700 ha, with an expected average yield of 2,51 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop also remained un­changed at 57 798 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 44 650 ha, with an expected yield of 1,29 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 143 578 tons, which is 3,67% or 5 475 tons less than the previous forecast of 149 053 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 45 000 ha and the expected yield is 3,19 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast decreased slightly to 79 975 tons, representing a decrease of 1,17% or 950 tons from the previous forecast of 80 925 tons. The estimated area planted is 38 920 ha, with an expected yield of 2,05 t/ha.


Please note that the seventh production forecast for summer field crops for 2026 will be released on 26 August 2026.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2026

Kommersiële mielies

Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 17,363 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,63% of 108 100 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 17,255 miljoen ton. Dit is die grootste mielie-oes op rekord. Die oppervlakteskatting vir totale mielies is 2,716 miljoen ha terwyl die verwagte gemiddelde op­brengs 6,39 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 3,81% of 637 640 ton meer as die 2025-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielie­produserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpu­malanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na ver­wagting 82% van die 2026-oes produseer.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 9,391 miljoen ton, wat 1,16% of 108 100 ton meer is as die 9,283 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opper­vlakteskatting vir witmielies is 1,665 miljoen ha en die verwagte gemiddelde opbrengs is 5,64 t/ha.

Die produksieskatting vir geelmielies het onver­anderd gebly op 7,972 miljoen ton. Die opper­vlakte­skatting is 1,052 miljoen hektaar, met 'n verwagte gemiddelde opbrengs van 7,58 t/ha.

Ander somergewasse

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is 874 805 ton, wat 3,92% of 35 725 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 910 530 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 570 100 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,53 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir sojabone het onveranderd gebly op 3,044 miljoen ton. Dit is die grootste sojaboonoes wat nog aangeteken is. Die beraamde oppervlakte onder sojabone is 1 212 700 ha, met 'n verwagte gemiddelde opbrengs van 2,51 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is ook onveranderd gelaat op 57 798 tons. Vir grondbone is die opper­vlakteskatting 44 650 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,29 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 143 578 ton, wat 3,67% of 5 475 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 149 053 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 45 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,19 t/ha.

Die produksieskatting vir droëbone het effens afge­neem na 79 975 ton, wat 1,17% of 950 ton laer is as die vorige skatting van 80 925 ton. Die beraamde oppervlakte onder droëbone is 38 920 ha, met 'n verwagte gemiddelde opbrengs van 2,05 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die sewende produksie­skatting vir somergewasse vir 2026, op 26 Augustus 2026 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area planted and production estimate  2026  Oppervlakte- en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2026 2026 2025 2025
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 261 305 390 720 252 030 389 410 +0.3
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 135 865 304 305 105 970 232 090 +31.1
Maize / Mielies 397 170 695 025 358 000 621 500 +11.8

The area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 397 170 ha, which represents an increase of 10,94%, compared to the 358 000 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 695 025 tons, which is 11,83% more than the 621 500 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 36,96% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by Limpopo with 31,00% and then KwaZulu-Natal with 21,90%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 397 170 ha, wat 'n toename van 10,94% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 358 000 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 695 025 ton, wat 11,83% meer is as die 621 500 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 36,96% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur Limpopo met 31,00% en dan KwaZulu-Natal met 21,90%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2026   Oppervlakte
Area planted to non-commercial maize: 2000-2026 graph
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2026   Produksie
Production of non-commercial maize: 2000-2026 graph
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area planted estimate  2026  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2026 Mid April 2026 2025 2025
Ha Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (A) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 473 900 486 400 517 300 1 905 500 -8.4
Barley / Gars 104 820 101 900 96 950 345 000 8.1
Canola 192 300 189 175 174 515 306 000 10.2
Oats / Hawer 40 400 39 000 35 520 43 500 13.7
Sweet lupins / Soetlupine 23 000 21 000 21 000 17 850 9.5
Total winter / Totaal winter 834 420 837 475 845 285 2 617 850 -1.3

*  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2026. / Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2026.

1)  Commercial only. Excluding barley or oats used as pasture, silage, hay and/or on the farm as fodder for livestock. / Slegs kommersieël. Uitgesluit gars of hawer wat gebruik word as weiding, kuilvoer, hooi en/of op die plaas as voer vir vee.

Wheat / Koring
Preliminary area planted estimate  2026  Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Intentions*
Voorneme*
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2025 Mid April 2026 2025 2025
Ha Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 325 000 335 000 363 000 980 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 40 000 41 000 40 000 302 000
Free State / Vrystaat 56 000 55 000 57 000 270 750
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 5 500 5 500 5 500 37 950
KwaZulu-Natal 8 400 8 000 8 500 51 000
Mpumalanga 3 100 3 000 3 500 22 400
Limpopo 25 000 28 000 28 000 165 200
Gauteng 900 900 800 5 150
North West / Noordwes 10 000 10 000 11 000 70 950
Total / Totaal 473 900 486 400 517 300 1 905 500

*  Intentions based on conditions at the middle of April 2026. / Voorneme gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2026.

Wheat / Koring
Area planted   2016-2026   Oppervlakte beplant
Graph of area planted to wheat from 2016 to 2026
Barley / Gars
Area planted   2016-2026   Oppervlakte beplant
Graph of area planted to barley from 2016 to 2026
Canola
Area planted   2016-2026   Oppervlakte beplant
Graph of area planted to canola from 2016 to 2026

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Preliminary area estimate for 2025 / Voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir 2025

Winter cereal crops – 2026

The preliminary area estimate is based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture and reflects the pro­duction situation as at mid-July 2026. The estimate also incorporates information provided by repre­sentatives of the Provincial Departments of Agri­culture (PDAs).

Please note that the information from the Producer Independent Crop Estimation System (PICES), as conducted by the National Crop Statistics Con­sortium (NCSC), for the Western Cape will be available in August 2026 and for the Free State in September 2026.

Wheat

The preliminary area estimate for wheat is 473 900 ha, which is 8,39% or 43 400 ha less than the 517 300 ha planted for the previous season. This is the smallest area planted to wheat since 1929, when 439 000 ha were planted to wheat.

The estimated area planted in the Western Cape is 325 000 ha, which is 38 000 ha less than the 363 000 ha of the previous season. In the Free State, 56 000 ha is planted, which is 1 000 ha less than the 57 000 ha planted for the previous season. The area planted in the Northern Cape is 40 000 ha, which is the same than that of the previous season.

Other crops

The preliminary area estimate for barley is 104 820 ha, which is 8,12% or 7 870 ha more than the 96 950 ha of last season. The area planted to canola is 192 300 ha, which is 10,19% or 17 785 ha more than the 174 515 ha planted for the previous season. This is the largest area planted to canola on record.

The preliminary area estimate for oats for the 2026 season is 40 400 ha and for sweet lupins 23 000 ha.


Please note that the revised area planted estimate and first production forecast for winter cereals for 2026 will be released on 26 August 2026.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2026

Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-waarskynlikheid steekproef­opname wat deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Eko­nomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou uitgevoer is, en weerspieël die produksiesituasie soos teen middel Julie 2026. Die skatting sluit ook inligting in wat deur verteenwoordigers van die Provinsiale Departemente van Landbou (PDL's) verskaf is.

Let wel, inligting van die Produsente Onafhanklike Oesskattingstelsel (“PICES”), soos gedoen deur die Nasionale Oesskattingskonsortium, sal vir die Wes-Kaap in Augustus 2026 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat in September 2026.

Koring

Die voorlopige skatting van die oppervlakte onder koring beloop 473 900 ha, wat 8,39% of 43 400 ha minder is as die 517 300 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Dit is die laagste oppervlakte wat sedert 1929 met koring beplant is, toe die opper­vlakte onder koring 439 000 ha beloop het.

Die beraamde oppervlakte beplant in die Wes-Kaap is 325 000 ha, wat 38 000 ha minder is as die 363 000 ha van die vorige seisoen. Vir die Vrystaat is die aanplantings 56 000 ha, wat 1 000 ha minder is as die 57 000 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Die oppervlakte beplant in die Noord-Kaap is 40 000 ha, wat dieselfde is as wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is.

Ander gewasse

Die voorlopige oppervlakskatting vir gars is 104 820 ha, wat 8,12% of 7 870 ha meer is as die 96 950 ha van verlede seisoen. Die oppervlakte onder canola s 192 300 ha, wat 10,19% of 17 785 ha meer is as die 174 515 ha wat verlede seisoen aangeplant is. Dit is die grootste oppervlakte wat nog met canola beplant is.

Die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir hawer vir die 2026-seisoen is 40 400 ha en vir soetlupine 23 000 ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die hersiene oppervlakte beplant en eerste produksieskatting vir winter­gewasse vir 2025 op 27 Augustus 2025 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

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  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.