2023/2024 ICB: KwaZulu-Natal soybean and maize under irrigation

OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


2023/2024 SUMMER CROPS  //  Income and Cost Budgets

KwaZulu-Natal (Bergville) – irrigation

Income and cost budgets for maize and soybeans for KwaZulu-Natal (Bergrivier)
Area KwaZulu-Natal: Bergrivier
Crop Maize Soybeans
Production system Irrigation

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 12.00 4.00
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2024 R/ton 3 766 8 109
Total deductions R/ton 516 446
– Transport differential R/ton 440 327
– Grade differential R/ton 13
– Handling and commission R/ton 63 62
– Seed breeding and technology levy R/ton 58
Price premiums R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 3 250 7 663
Gross income R/ha R39 002 R30 651

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 1 482 3 739
Fertilizer R/ha 9 474 3 269
Lime R/ha 735
Seed R/ha 5 341 2 197
Fuel R/ha 1 962 1 974
Herbicide R/ha 1 824 1 799
Insecticide / Fungicides R/ha 1 082 441
Marketing costs R/ha
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 858 579
Casual labour R/ha 581
Aerial spray R/ha
Irrigation electricity R/ha 3 262 2 776
Water R/ha 1 677 1 428
Other expenditure: scheduling/irrigation equipment R&M R/ha 886 771
Total variable expenditure R/ha R29 164 R18 973
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 430 R4 743
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R9 838 R11 678
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R820 R2 919
Break-even yield T/ha 8 97 2.48
Break-even price R/ton R2 430 R4 743
Source: BFAP, GSA and individual farmers – 2023.
Gross margin comparison – baseline: KwaZulu-Natal (Bergrivier)
Figure 3.2: Gross margin comparison – Baseline: KwaZulu-Natal irrigation

Gross margin per hectare: KwaZulu-Natal (Bergville)

Maize sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 10.50 11.00 11.50 12.00 12.50 13.00 13.50
R2 850 763 2 188 3 613 5 038 6 463 7 888 9 313
R2 950 1 813 3 288 4 763 6 238 7 713 9 188 10 663
R3 050 2 863 4 388 5 913 7 438 8 963 10 488 12 013
R3 150 3 913 5 488 7 063 8 638 10 213 11 788 13 363
R3 250 4 963 6 588 8 213 9 838 11 463 13 088 14 713
R3 350 6 013 7 688 9 363 11 038 12 713 14 388 16 063
R3 450 7 063 8 788 10 513 12 238 13 963 15 688 17 413
R3 550 8 113 9 888 11 663 13 438 15 213 16 988 18 763
R3 650 9 163 10 988 12 813 14 638 16 463 18 288 20 113
Soybeans sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 3.25 3.50 3.75 4.00 4.25 4.50 4.75
R7 263 4 630 6 446 8 262 10 078 11 893 13 709 15 525
R7 363 4 955 6 796 8 637 10 478 12 318 14 159 16 000
R7 463 5 280 7 146 9 012 10 878 12 743 14 609 16 475
R7 563 5 605 7 496 9 387 11 278 13 168 15 059 16 950
R7 663 5 930 7 846 9 762 11 678 13 593 15 509 17 425
R7 763 6 255 8 196 10 137 12 078 14 018 15 959 17 900
R7 863 6 580 8 546 10 512 12 478 14 443 16 409 18 375
R7 963 6 905 8 896 10 887 12 878 14 868 16 859 18 850
R8 063 7 230 9 246 11 262 13 278 15 293 17 309 19 325
Soybeans margin above/below maize
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 363 R7 463 R7 563 R7 663 R7 763 R7 863 R7 963
3.00 -6 723 -6 423 -6 123 -5 823 -5 523 -5 223 -4 923
3.25 -4 882 -4 557 -4 232 -3 907 -3 582 -3 257 -2 932
3.50 -3 042 -2 692 -2 342 -1 992 -1 642 -1 292 -942
3.75 -1 201 -826 -451 -76 299 674 1 049
4.00 640 1 040 1 440 1 840 2 240 2 640 3 040
4.25 2 480 2 905 3 330 3 755 4 180 4 605 5 030
4.50 4 321 4 771 5 221 5 671 6 121 6 571 7 021
4.75 6 162 6 637 7 112 7 587 8 062 8 537 9 012
5.00 8 002 8 502 9 002 9 502 10 002 10 502 11 002

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • Other macro- and microelements such as calcium, magnesium and zinc are included in the fertiliser costs.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The cost for soybean seed reflects a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • There will be large fluctuations for insurance cost (hail) based on the associated risk in respective areas. It is advised that producers adjust this cost based on their individual premiums.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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