OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


Third production forecast for summer crops and intentions to plant winter cereals (2024)
Derde produksieskatting vir somergewasse en voorneme om wintergewasse te plant (2024)

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and third production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2024 2024 2024 2023 2023
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 554 750 6 406 950 6 277 000 1 521 300 8 505 000 2.07
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 081 500 6 984 750 6 978 750 1 064 800 7 925 000 0.09
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 636 250 13 391 700 13 255 750 2 586 100 16 430 000 1.03
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 529 000 615 000 589 000 555 700 720 000 4.41
Soybeans / Sojabone 1 150 500 1 813 790 1 813 790 1 148 300 2 770 000 0.00
Groundnuts / Grondbone 41 200 54 960 57 610 31 300 53 000 -4.60
Sorghum 42 100 94 105 89 630 34 000 94 360 4.99
Dry beans / Droëbone 39 550 54 120 54 120 36 650 50 260 0.00
Total / Totaal 4 438 600 16 023 675 15 859 900 4 392 050 20 117 620 1.03
Non-Commercial Maize/Nie-Kommersiële Mielies
Total maize / Totale mielies 347 000 575 000 N/A 358 620 664 040 N/A
Maize/Mielies: Commercial/Kommersieël + Non-Commercial/Nie-Kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totale mielies RSA 2 983 250 13 966 700 N/A 2 944 720 17 094 040 N/A

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2023/2024 = 2024
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2023/2024 = 2024

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2010-2024   Produksie
Graph of the total maize production from 2010 to 2024
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Production   2010-2024   Produksie
Graph of sunflower seed production from 2010 to 2024
Soybeans / Sojabone
Production   2010-2024   Produksie
Graph of soybean production from 2010 to 2024
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and third production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Area planted
oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2024 2024 2023 2023
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
250 3 500 3 750 2 300 32 200 34 500 250 3 500 3 750 2 375 33 000 35 375
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
1 500 42 000 43 500 18 750 676 200 694 950 1 000 43 500 44 500 12 500 696 000 708 500
Free State / Vrystaat
835 000 415 000 1 250 000 3 590 500 2 178 750 5 769 250 780 000 401 000 1 181 000 4 446 000 2 696 000 7 142 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
6 000 27 000 33 000 39 600 191 700 231 300 5 750 25 000 30 750 40 250 192 500 232 750
KwaZulu-Natal
47 000 67 000 114 000 291 400 576 200 867 600 49 000 65 000 114 000 298 900 537 000 835 900
Mpumalanga
160 000 360 000 520 000 984 000 2 448 000 3 432 000 156 500 352 000 508 500 1 032 900 2 596 000 3 628 900
Limpopo
11 000 15 000 26 000 72 600 121 500 194 100 16 800 22 800 39 600 114 075 187 000 301 075
Gauteng
54 000 62 000 116 000 307 800 409 200 717 000 56 000 52 000 108 000 364 000 392 500 756 500
North West / Noordwes
440 000 90 000 530 000 1 100 000 35 000 1 451 000 456 000 100 000 556 000 2 194 000 595 000 2 789 000
Total / Totaal
1 554 750 1 081 500 2 636 250 6 406 950 6 984 750 13 391 700 1 521 300 1 064 800 2 586 100 8 505 000 7 925 000 16 430 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and third production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 4 600 2 500 6 250
Free State / Vrystaat 255 000 331 500 290 000 402 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 700 1 400 700 1 400
KwaZulu-Natal 300 600 300 600
Mpumalanga 3 500 4 900 5 000 7 140
Limpopo 90 000 76 000 100 000 75 000
Gauteng 2 500 3 000 2 200 2 860
North West / Noordwes 175 000 192 500 155 000 224 750
Total / Totaal 529 000 615 000 555 700 720 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and third production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 4 380 1 000 3 750
Free State / Vrystaat 545 000 708 500 565 000 1 330 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 5 300 14 310 4 300 12 900
KwaZulu-Natal 47 000 169 200 44 000 163 000
Mpumalanga 320 000 576 000 305 000 671 000
Limpopo 21 000 71 400 26 000 88 500
Gauteng 56 000 84 000 48 000 105 600
North West / Noordwes 155 000 186 000 155 000 395 250
Total / Totaal 1 150 500 1 813 790 1 148 300 2 770 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 4 200 11 970 2 000 5 300
Free State / Vrystaat 17 000 23 800 12 300 21 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 0 0 0 0
KwaZulu-Natal 300 795 0 0
Mpumalanga 0 0 0 0
Limpopo 1 700 3 995 2 000 4 700
Gauteng 0 0 0 0
North West / Noordwes 18 000 14 400 15 000 22 000
Total / Totaal 41 200 54 960 31 300 53 000
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 200 100 180
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 500 1 050 450 990
Free State / Vrystaat 13 500 12 825 14 000 13 300
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 200 400 200 360
KwaZulu-Natal 2 100 2 520 2 100 3 150
Mpumalanga 2 600 4 290 5 000 7 000
Limpopo 12 200 24 400 8 000 16 000
Gauteng 850 935 800 880
North West / Noordwes 7 500 9 500 6 000 8 400
Total / Totaal 39 550 54 120 36 650 50 260
Sorghum
Area planted and third production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Free State / Vrystaat 11 500 16 675 5 200 14 820
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 100 300 0 0
KwaZulu-Natal 100 350 100 400
Mpumalanga 8 300 35 690 8 500 35 275
Limpopo 18 000 35 100 15 500 33 325
Gauteng 100 390 100 420
North West / Noordwes 4 000 5 600 4 600 10 120
Total / Totaal 42 100 94 105 34 000 94 360

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and third production forecast (2024) Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2024

Commercial maize

The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 13,392 million tons, which is 1,03% or 135 950 tons more than the previous forecast of 13,256 million tons. The expected yield for maize is 5,08 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 18,49% or 3,038 million tons smaller than the 2023 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 80% of the 2024 crop.

The production forecast of white maize is 6,407 million tons, which is 2,07% or 129 950 tons more than the 6,277 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for white maize is 1,555 million ha and the expected yield is 4,12 t/ha.

In the case of yellow maize, the production forecast is 6,985 million tons, which is 0,09% or 6 000 tons more than the 6,979 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for yellow maize is 1,082 million ha and the yield is 6,46 t/ha.

The yield per ha for the Mpumalanga province was based on scientific and objective results provided by the ARC. Please note that the objective results for the Free State and North West provinces will be available in May 2024.

Other summer crops

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sun­flower seed is 615 000 tons, which is 4,41% or 26 000 tons more than the previous forecast of 589 000 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 529 000 ha, while the expected yield is 1,16 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans remained unchanged at 1,814 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 1,151 million ha, with an expected yield of 1,58 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop has been set at 54 960 tons, which is 4,60% or 2 650 tons less than the previous forecast of 57 610 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 41 200 ha, with an expected yield of 1,33 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 94 105 tons, which is 4,99% or 4 475 tons more than the 89 630 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 100 ha and the expected yield is 2,24 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast remained unchanged at 54 120 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 39 550 ha, with an expected yield of 1,37 t/ha.


Please note that the fourth production forecast for summer field crops for 2024 will be released on 28 May 2024.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2024

Kommersiële mielies

Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 13,392 miljoen ton gestel, wat 1,03% of 135 950 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 13,256 miljoen ton. Die verwagte opbrengs van mielies is 5,08 t/ha.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 18,49% of 3,038 miljoen ton minder as die 2023-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielie­produserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpuma­langa en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 80% van die 2024-oes produseer.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,407 miljoen ton, wat 2,07% of 129 950 ton meer is as die 6,277 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakte­skatting vir witmielies is 1,555 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 4,12 t/ha.

In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,985 miljoen ton, wat 0,09% of 6 000 ton meer is as die 6,979 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir geelmielies is 1,082 miljoen ha en die opbrengs is 6,46 t/ha.

Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Mpumalanga provinsie is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objek­tiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR. Neem kennis dat die objektiewe resultate vir die Vrystaat en Noord­wes provinsies, in Mei 2024 gerapporteer sal word.

Ander somergewasse

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is 615 000 ton, wat 4,41% of 26 000 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 589 000 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 529 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,16 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is onveranderd gelaat op 1,814 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 1,151 miljoen ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,58 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is op 54 960 ton gestel, wat 4,60% of 2 650 ton minder is as die vorige skat­ting van 57 610 ton. Vir grondbone is die oppervlak­teskatting 41 200 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,33 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 94 105 ton, wat 4,99% of 4 475 ton meer is as die 89 630 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 42 100 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,24 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 54 120 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 39 550 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,37 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksie­skatting vir somergewasse vir 2024, op 28 Mei 2024 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2024  Voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2024 2024 2023 2023
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 267 570 407 500 278 655 472 765 -13.80
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 79 430 167 500 79 965 191 275 -12.43
Maize / Mielies 347 000 575 000 258 620 664 040 -13.41

The area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 347 000 ha, which represents a decrease of 3,24%, compared to the 358 620 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 575 000 tons, which is 13,41% less than the 664 040 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 46% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 22%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 347 000 ha, wat 'n afname van 3,24% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 358 620 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 575 000 ton, wat 13,41% minder is as die 664 040 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 46% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 22%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2024   Oppervlakte
Area planted to non-commercial maize: 2000-2024 graph
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2024   Produksie
Production of non-commercial maize: 2000-2024 graph
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant  2024  Voorneme om te plant
Crop / Gewas Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Change / Verandering
2024 2023 2023
Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (A) ÷ (B)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 520 200 537 950 2 078 025 -3.3
Malting barley / Moutgars ¹ 102 000 107 600 376 195 -5.2
Canola 141 100 131 200 237 450 7.5
Cereal oats / Hawermout ¹ 20 500 27 500 40 250 -25.5
Sweet lupins / Soetlupine 15 000 16 000 16 000 -6.3
Total winter cereals / Totaal wintergewasse 798 800 820 250 2 747 920 -2.6

*  Based on conditions at the middle of April 2024. / Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2024.

Wheat / Koring
Intentions to plant  2024  Voorneme om te plant
Province / Provinsie Intentions
Voorneme
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
2024 2023 2023
Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 370 000 365 000 1 095 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 40 000 40 000 296 000
Free State / Vrystaat 55 000 72 000 288 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 5 000 6 300 40 950
KwaZulu-Natal 8 000 8 500 56 950
Mpumalanga 3 700 4 200 28 560
Limpopo 25 000 30 000 198 000
Gauteng 1 000 950 6 365
North West / Noordwes 12 500 11 000 68 200
Total / Totaal 520 200 537 950 2 078 025
Wheat / Koring
Production   2010-2024   Produksie
Graph of wheat production for the Western Cape from 2010 to 2024
Barley / Gars
Production   2010-2024   Produksie
Graph of barley production from 2010 to 2024
Canola
Production   2010-2024   Produksie
Graph of canola production from 2010 to 2024

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant for 2024 / Voorneme om te plant vir 2024

Winter cereal crops – 2024

Producers' intentions to plant winter cereals are mainly based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development and reflects the position as at the middle of April 2024. Inputs were also received from the representatives of the respective Provincial Departments of Agriculture.

The figures for wheat represent the total number of hectares that are intended to be planted for grain, excluding any hectares that will be planted for fodder and grazing.

Early indications are that producers intend to plant 520 200 ha of wheat for the 2024 production season. This is 3,30% or 17 750 ha less than the 537 950 ha planted to wheat in 2023.

The main producing areas are within the Western Cape with 370 000 ha (71%), followed by the Free State with 55 000 ha (11%) and the Northern Cape with 40 000 ha (8%).

The expected area planted to malting barley is 102 000 ha, which is 5,20% or 5 600 ha less than the 107 600 ha of the previous year. The expected area planted to canola is also 141 100 ha, which is 7,55% or 9 900 ha more than the 131 200 ha planted in 2023. Producers intend to plant 20 500 ha of cereal oats, which is 25,45% or 7 000 ha less than the 27 500 ha of the previous season. The expected area planted to sweet lupines is 15 000 ha, which is 6,25% or 1 000 ha less than the previous season.


Please note that the preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2024 will be released on 26 July 2024.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2024

Produsente se voorneme om wintergewasse te plant is hoofsaaklik gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direk­toraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou, Grondhervorming en Landelike Ontwikkeling en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van April 2024. Insette is ook ontvang vanaf die verteenwoordigers van die onderskeie Provinsiale Departemente van Landbou.

Die syfers vir koring verteenwoordig die totale aantal hektare wat werklik beplant gaan word vir graan, uitgesluit alle hektare wat beplant gaan word vir groenvoer en weiding.

Vroeë aanduidings is dat produsente van voorneme is om 520 200 ha koring te plant vir die 2024-produksie-seisoen. Dit is 3,30% of 17 750 ha minder koring aangeplant as die 537 950 ha in 2023.

Die grootste produserende gebiede is in die Wes-Kaap, met 370 000 ha (71%), gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 55 000 ha (11%) en die Noord-Kaap met 40 000 ha (8%).

Die verwagte aanplantings van moutgars is 102 000 ha – 5,20% of 5 600 ha minder as die 107 600 ha van die vorige jaar. Die verwagte aanplantings van canola is ook 141 000 ha, wat 7,55% of 9 900 ha meer is as die 131 200 ha wat aangeplant was in 2023. Produsente is van voorneme om 20 500 ha hawer­mout te plant, wat 25,45% of 7 000 ha minder is as die 27 500 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte aanplantings van soetlupine is 15 000 ha, wat 6,25% of 1 000 ha minder is as die vorige seisoen.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlak­teskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2023 op 26 Julie 2024 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
  • No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information. The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 14:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time. Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential. Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.