OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


Eighth production forecast for summer crops (2024) and revised area planted and second production estimate for winter cereals (2024)
Agtste produksieskatting vir somergewasse (2024) en hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting vir wintergewasse (2024)

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Seventh forecast
Sewende skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2024 2024 2024 2023 2023
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 554 750 6 084 250 6 188 100 1 521 300 8 505 000 -1.68
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 081 500 6 716 950 6 871 850 1 064 800 7 925 000 -2.25
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 636 250 12 801 200 13 059 950 2 586 100 16 430 000 -1.98
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 529 000 635 750 649 250 555 700 720 000 -2.08
Soybeans / Sojabone 1 150 500 1 810 790 1 778 790 1 148 300 2 770 000 1.80
Groundnuts / Grondbone 41 200 51 745 52 645 31 300 53 000 -1.71
Sorghum 42 100 95 830 95 830 34 000 94 360 0.00
Dry beans / Droëbone 39 550 50 495 50 495 36 650 50 260 0.00
Total / Totaal 4 438 600 15 445 810 15 686 960 4 392 050 20 117 620 -1.54
Non-Commercial Maize/Nie-Kommersiële Mielies
Total maize / Totale mielies 347 000 575 000 575 000 358 620 664 040 0.00
Maize/Mielies: Commercial/Kommersieël + Non-Commercial/Nie-Kommersieël
Total maize RSA / Totale mielies RSA 2 983 250 13 376 200 13 634 950 2 944 720 17 094 040 -1.90

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2023/2024 = 2024
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2023/2024 = 2024

Total maize / Totale mielies
Production   2015-2024   Produksie
Graph of the total maize production from 2015 to 2024
White maize / Witmielies
Production   2015-2024   Produksie
Graph of white maize production from 2015 to 2024
Yellow maize / Geelmielies
Production   2015-2024   Produksie
Graph of yellow maize production from 2015 to 2024
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Area planted
oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2024 2024 2023 2023
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
250 3 500 3 750 2 300 32 200 34 500 250 3 500 3 750 2 375 33 000 35 375
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
1 500 42 000 43 500 18 900 648 900 667 800 1 000 43 500 44 500 12 500 696 000 708 500
Free State / Vrystaat
835 000 415 000 1 250 000 3 381 750 1 971 250 5 353 000 780 000 401 000 1 181 000 4 446 000 2 696 000 7 142 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
6 000 27 000 33 000 40 800 191 700 232 500 5 750 25 000 30 750 40 250 192 500 232 750
KwaZulu-Natal
47 000 67 000 114 000 286 700 576 200 862 900 49 000 65 000 114 000 298 900 537 000 835 900
Mpumalanga
160 000 360 000 520 000 992 000 2 448 000 3 440 000 156 500 352 000 508 500 1 032 900 2 596 000 3 628 900
Limpopo
11 000 15 000 26 000 74 800 120 000 194 800 16 800 22 800 39 600 114 075 187 000 301 075
Gauteng
54 000 62 000 116 000 297 000 409 200 706 200 56 000 52 000 108 000 364 000 392 500 756 500
North West / Noordwes
440 000 90 000 530 000 990 000 319 500 1 309 500 456 000 100 000 556 000 2 194 000 595 000 2 789 000
Total / Totaal
1 554 750 1 081 500 2 636 250 6 084 250 6 716 950 12 801 200 1 521 300 1 064 800 2 586 100 8 505 000 7 925 000 16 430 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 4 600 2 500 6 250
Free State / Vrystaat 255 000 357 000 290 000 402 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 700 1 400 700 1 400
KwaZulu-Natal 300 600 300 600
Mpumalanga 3 500 4 900 5 000 7 140
Limpopo 90 000 63 000 100 000 75 000
Gauteng 2 500 3 000 2 200 2 860
North West / Noordwes 175 000 201 250 155 000 224 750
Total / Totaal 529 000 635 750 555 700 720 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 4 380 1 000 3 750
Free State / Vrystaat 545 000 681 250 565 000 1 330 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 5 300 14 310 4 300 12 900
KwaZulu-Natal 47 000 169 200 44 000 163 000
Mpumalanga 320 000 608 000 305 000 671 000
Limpopo 21 000 71 400 26 000 88 500
Gauteng 56 000 84 000 48 000 105 600
North West / Noordwes 155 000 178 250 155 000 395 250
Total / Totaal 1 150 500 1 810 790 1 148 300 2 770 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 4 200 8 610 2 000 5 300
Free State / Vrystaat 17 000 26 350 12 300 21 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 0 0 0 0
KwaZulu-Natal 300 495 0 0
Mpumalanga 0 0 0 0
Limpopo 1 700 4 590 2 000 4 700
Gauteng 0 0 0 0
North West / Noordwes 18 000 11 700 15 000 22 000
Total / Totaal 41 200 51 745 31 300 53 000
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 220 100 180
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 500 900 450 990
Free State / Vrystaat 13 500 10 800 14 000 13 300
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 200 440 200 360
KwaZulu-Natal 2 100 2 730 2 100 3 150
Mpumalanga 2 600 4 680 5 000 7 000
Limpopo 12 200 23 790 8 000 16 000
Gauteng 850 935 800 880
North West / Noordwes 7 500 6 000 6 000 8 400
Total / Totaal 39 550 50 495 36 650 50 260
Sorghum
Area planted and eighth production forecast  2024  Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Eighth forecast
Agtste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2024 2024 2023 2023
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 0 0 0 0
Free State / Vrystaat 11 500 18 400 5 200 14 820
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 100 300 0 0
KwaZulu-Natal 100 350 100 400
Mpumalanga 8 300 35 690 8 500 35 275
Limpopo 18 000 35 100 15 500 33 325
Gauteng 100 390 100 420
North West / Noordwes 4 000 5 600 4 600 10 120
Total / Totaal 42 100 95 830 34 000 94 360

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and eighth production forecast (2024) Oppervlakte- en agtste produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2024

Commercial maize

The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 12,801 million tons, which is 1,98% or 258 750 tons less than the previous forecast of 13,060 million tons. The expected yield for maize is 4,86 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 22,09% or 3,629 million tons smaller than the 2023 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 79% of the 2024 crop.

The production forecast of white maize is 6,084 million tons, which is 1,68% or 103 850 tons less than the previous forecast of 6,188 million tons. The area estimate for white maize is 1,555 million ha and the expected yield is 3,91 t/ha.

In the case of yellow maize, the production forecast is 6,717 million tons, which is 2,25% or 154 900 tons less than the 6,872 million tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for yellow maize is 1,082 million ha and the yield is 6,21 t/ha.

The main reason for the decrease in the production forecast for white and yellow maize is due to fewer producer deliveries (as reported by SAGIS), as opposed to what the Committee indicated during August 2024.

Other summer crops

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sun­flower seed is 635 750 tons, which is 2,08% or 13 500 less than the previous forecast of 649 250 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 529 000 ha, while the expected yield is 1,20 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans is 1,811 million tons, which is 1,80% or 32 000 tons more than the 1,779 million tons of the previous forecast. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 1,151 million ha, with an expected yield of 1,57 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop is 51 745 tons, which is 1,71% or 900 tons less than the 52 645 tons of the previous forecast. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 41 200 ha, with an expected yield of 1,26 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum remained unchanged at 95 830 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 100 ha and the expected yield is 2,28 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast also remained unchanged at 50 495 ton. The area estimate of dry beans is 39 550 ha, with an expected yield of 1,28 t/ha.


Please note that the ninth production forecast for summer field crops for 2024, as well as the 'intentions of farmers' to plant summer grain crops for 2025, will be released on 29 October 2024.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2024

Kommersiële mielies

Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 12,801 miljoen ton gestel, wat 1,98% of 258 750 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 13,060 miljoen ton. Die verwagte opbrengs van mielies is 4,86 t/ha.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 22,09% of 3,629 miljoen ton minder as die 2023-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielie­produserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpu­malanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 79% van die 2024-oes produseer.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,084 miljoen ton, wat 1,68% of 103 850 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 6,188 miljoen ton. Die oppervlakte­skatting vir witmielies is 1,555 miljoen ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,91 t/ha.

In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,717 miljoen ton, wat 2,25% of 154 900 ton minder is as die 6,872 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir geelmielies is 1,082 miljoen ha en die opbrengs is 6,21 t/ha.

Die hoofrede vir die afname in die produksieskatting vir wit- en geelmielies is as gevolg van minder pro­dusentelewerings (soos gerapporteer deur SAGIS), teenoor wat die Komitee in Augustus 2024 aangedui het.

Ander somergewasse

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is 635 750 ton, wat 2,08% of 13 500 ton minder is as die vorige skatting van 649 250 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 529 000 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,20 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is 1,811 miljoen ton wat 1,80% of 32 000 ton meer is as die 1,779 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 1,151 miljoen ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,57 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 51 745 ton, wat 1,71% of 900 ton minder is as die 52 645 ton van die vorige skatting. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 41 200 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,26 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is onveranderd gelaat op 95 830 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 42 100 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,28 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting ook onveranderd gelaat op 50 495 ton. Die opper­vlakte beplant met droëbone is 39 550 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,28 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die negende pro­duk­sieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2024, sowel as die 'voorneme van produsente om somergraangewasse te plant' vir 2025, op 29 Oktober 2024 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Preliminary area planted and production estimate  2024  Voorlopige oppervlakte- en produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Production
Produksie
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2024 2024 2023 2023
Ha Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (B) ÷ (D)
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou
  White maize / Witmielies 267 570 407 500 278 655 472 765 -13.80
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 79 430 167 500 79 965 191 275 -12.43
Maize / Mielies 347 000 575 000 258 620 664 040 -13.41

The area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 347 000 ha, which represents a decrease of 3,24%, compared to the 358 620 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 575 000 tons, which is 13,41% less than the 664 040 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 46% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape, followed by KwaZulu-Natal with 22%.

Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 347 000 ha, wat 'n afname van 3,24% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 358 620 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 575 000 ton, wat 13,41% minder is as die 664 040 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 46% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word, gevolg deur KwaZulu-Natal met 22%.

Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Area   2000-2024   Oppervlakte
Area planted to non-commercial maize: 2000-2024 graph
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
Production   2000-2024   Produksie
Production of non-commercial maize: 2000-2024 graph
Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Revised area planted and second production estimate  2024  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
First forecast
Eerste skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change / Verandering
2024 2024 2024 2023 2023
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 505 300 1 938 600 1 903 280 537 950 2 050 000 1.86
Malting barley / Moutgars 100 700 398 535 415 135 107 600 377 000 -4.00
Canola 165 750 294 645 265 750 131 200 236 300 10.87
Oats / Hawer 31 000 68 300 69 825 27 500 41 000 -2.18
Sweet lupins / Soetlupine 16 000 19 200 18 400 16 000 16 000 4.35
Total winter cereals / Totaal wintergewasse 818 750 2 719 280 2 672 390 820 250 2 720 300 1.75

*  Commercial only. Excluding barley or oats used as pasture, silage, hay and/or on the farm as fodder for livestock. / Slegs kommersieël. Uitgesluit gars of hawer wat gebruik word as weiding, kuilvoer, hooi en/of op die plaas as voer vir vee.

Wheat / Koring
Revised area planted and second production estimate  2024  Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2024 2024 2023 2023
Ha Tons Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 368 000 1 104 000 365 000 1 084 000
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 38 000 277 400 40 000 292 000
Free State / Vrystaat 49 000 277 850 72 000 280 800
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 5 000 34 500 6 300 40 555
KwaZulu-Natal 8 300 53 950 8 500 56 100
Mpumalanga 3 500 24 500 4 200 27 720
Limpopo 20 500 135 300 30 000 195 000
Gauteng 1 000 6 700 950 6 175
North West / Noordwes 12 000 74 400 11 000 67 650
Total / Totaal 505 300 1 938 600 537 950 2 050 000
Wheat / Koring
Production   2015-2024   Produksie
Graph of wheat production from 2015 to 2024
Barley / Gars
Production   2015-2024   Produksie
Graph of barley production from 2015 to 2024
Canola
Production   2015-2024   Produksie
Graph of canola production from 2015 to 2024

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Revised area estimate and second production forecast for 2024 / Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting vir 2024

Winter cereal crops – 2024

Wheat

The expected production of wheat is 1,939 million tons, which is 1,86% or 35 320 tons more than the previous forecast of 1,903 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3,84 t/ha.

The expected production in the Western Cape is 1,104 million tons (57%), which is 36 800 tons more than the previous forecast of 1,067 million tons. In the Northern Cape, 277 400 tons (14%) is expected to be produced – the same than the previous forecast. In the Free State, the expected production is 227 850 tons (12%), compared to the 227 500 tons of the previous month.

The area estimate for wheat was revised to 505 300 ha, which is 1 000 ha less than the 506 300 ha of the previous forecast. An estimated 368 000 ha or 73% is planted in the Western Cape, 49 000 ha or 10% in the Free State and 38 000 ha or 8% in the Northern Cape.

Other crops

The production forecast for barley is 398 535 tons, which is 4,00% or 16 600 tons less than the previous month's crop of 415 135 tons. The area planted is estimated at 100 700 ha, while the expected yield is 3,96 t/ha.

The expected canola crop is 294 645 tons, which is 10,87% or 28 895 tons more than the previous forecast of 265 750 tons. The area estimate for canola is 165 750 ha, with an expected yield of 1,78 t/ha.

The expected crop for oats for the 2024 season is 68 300 tons and the area planted is 31 000 ha. The expected yield is 2,20 t/ha.

In the case of sweet lupines, the production forecast is 19 200 tons. The area estimate of sweet lupines is 16 000 ha, with an expected yield of 1,20 t/ha.


Please note that the third production forecast for winter cereals for 2024 will be released on 29 October 2024.

Information is available online at the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2024

Koring

Die verwagte produksie vir koring is 1,939 miljoen ton, wat 1,86 % of 35 320 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,903 miljoen ton, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,84 t/ha is.

Die verwagte produksie in die Wes-Kaap is 1,104 mij. ton (57%), wat 36 800 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 1,067 miljoen ton. In die Noord-Kaap is die beraamde produksie 277 400 ton (14%) – dieselfde as die vorige skatting. In die Vrystaat is die verwagte produksie 227 850 ton (12%), in vergelyking met die vorige maand se 227 500 ton.

Die oppervlakteskatting vir koring is hersien na 505 300 ha, wat 1 000 ha minder is as die 506 300 ha teenoor die vorige skatting. Die beraamde op­pervlakte geplant in die Wes-Kaap is 368 000 ha of 73%, die Vrystaat is 49 000 ha of 10% en 38 000 ha of 8% is in die Noord-Kaap.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting vir gars is 398 535 ton, wat 4,00% of 16 600 ton minder is as die vorige maand se skatting van 415 135 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant word beraam op 100 700 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 3,96 t/ha beloop.

Die verwagte canola-oes is 294 645 ton, wat 10,87% of 28 895 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 265 750 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir canola is 165 750 ha, met 'n verwagte opbrengs van 1,78 t/ha.

Die verwagte oes vir hawer vir die 2024-seisoen is 68 300 ton en die oppervlakteskatting is 31 000 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 2,20 t/ha.

In die geval van soetlupine is die produksieskatting 19 200 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met soetlupine is 16 000 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,20 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die derde produksie­skatting vir wintergewasse vir 2024 op 29 Oktober 2024 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar aanlyn by die Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
  • No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information. The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 14:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time. Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential. Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.