OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2022 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – high potential regions)
Area Southern Cape: Eastern Rûens (high potential)
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 3.00 1.90 2.50 1.70
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2022 R/ton 7 038 7 038 9 364 7 038 6 801
Total deductions R/ton 941 890 32 882 141
– Transport differential R/ton 615 615 840 100
– Grade differential R/ton 210 194
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 116 81 32 42 41
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 65 936
Net farm gate price R/ton 6 098 6 026 10 269 6 156 6 660
Gross income R/ha R18 293 R18 079 R19 510 R15 391 R11 321

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 53 52 56 44
Fertilizer R/ha 4 436 4 360 4 742 3 828 1 822
Lime R/ha 199 199 199 167
Seed R/ha 611 485 1 051 543 994
Fuel R/ha 723 739 726 711 655
Herbicide R/ha 1 804 1 141 1 276 927 882
Insecticide R/ha 281 284 474 205 186
Fungicides R/ha 668 1 167 468 541 249
Marketing costs R/ha 68 93 35
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 635 672 678 635 509
Casual labour R/ha 19 20 21 19 15
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 128 130 123 101 101
Total variable expenditure R/ha R9 624 R9 341 R9 848 R7 721 R5 414
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 208 R3 114 R5 183 R3 088 R3 184
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R8 669 R8 738 R9 662 R7 670 R5 908
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 890 R2 913 R5 085 R3 068 R3 475
Break-even yield T/ha 1.58 1.55 0.96 1.25 0.81
Break-even price R/ton R3 208 R3 114 R5 183 R3 088 R3 184
Source: SSK, GSA and BFAP, updated September 2022.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – high potential)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Ruens - high potential region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Eastern Rûens (high potential)

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R5 098 1 846 3 120 4 394 5 669 6 943 8 218 9 492
R5 348 2 408 3 745 5 082 6 419 7 756 9 093 10 430
R5 598 2 971 4 370 5 769 7 169 8 568 9 968 11 367
R5 848 3 533 4 995 6 457 7 919 9 381 10 843 12 305
R6 098 4 096 5 620 7 144 8 669 10 193 11 718 13 242
R6 348 4 658 6 245 7 832 9 419 11 006 12 593 14 180
R6 598 5 221 6 870 8 519 10 169 11 818 13 468 15 117
R6 848 5 783 7 495 9 207 10 919 12 631 14 343 16 055
R7 098 6 346 8 120 9 894 11 669 13 443 15 218 16 992
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R5 026 1 968 3 225 4 481 5 738 6 995 8 251 9 508
R5 276 2 531 3 850 5 169 6 488 7 807 9 126 10 445
R5 526 3 093 4 475 5 856 7 238 8 620 10 001 11 383
R5 776 3 656 5 100 6 544 7 988 9 432 10 876 12 320
R6 026 4 218 5 725 7 231 8 738 10 245 11 751 13 258
R6 276 4 781 6 350 7 919 9 488 11 057 12 626 14 195
R6 526 5 343 6 975 8 606 10 238 11 870 13 501 15 133
R6 776 5 906 7 600 9 294 10 988 12 682 14 376 16 070
R7 026 6 468 8 225 9 981 11 738 13 495 15 251 17 008
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.15 1.40 1.65 1.90 2.15 2.40 2.65
R9 269 811 3 128 5 445 7 762 10 079 12 396 14 714
R9 519 1 098 3 478 5 857 8 237 10 617 12 996 15 376
R9 769 1 386 3 828 6 270 8 712 11 154 13 596 16 039
R10 019 1 673 4 178 6 682 9 187 11 692 14 196 16 701
R10 269 1 961 4 528 7 095 9 662 12 229 14 796 17 364
R10 519 2 248 4 878 7 507 10 137 12 767 15 396 18 026
R10 769 2 536 5 228 7 920 10 612 13 304 15 996 18 689
R11 019 2 823 5 578 8 332 11 987 13 842 16 596 19 351
R11 269 3 111 5 928 8 745 11 562 14 379 17 196 20 014
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R9 519 R9 769 R10 019 R10 269 R10 519 R10 769 R11 019
0.90 -9 950 -9 725 -9 500 -9 275 -9 050 -8 825 -8 600
1.15 -7 571 -7 283 -6 996 -6 708 -6 421 -6 133 -5 846
1.40 -5 191 -4 841 -4 491 -4 141 -3 791 -3 441 -3 091
1.65 -2 811 -2 399 -1 986 -1 574 -1 161 -749 -336
1.90 -432 43 518 993 1 468 1 943 2 418
2.15 1 948 2 485 3 023 3 560 4 098 4 635 5 173
2.40 4 328 4 928 5 528 6 128 6 728 7 328 7 928
2.65 6 707 7 370 8 032 8 695 9 357 10 020 10 682
2.90 9 087 9 812 10 537 11 262 11 987 12 712 13 437

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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