OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2022 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – normal potential regions)
Area Southern Cape: Eastern Rûens (normal potential)
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.50 2.50 1.65 2.20 1.50
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2022 R/ton 7 038 7 038 9 364 7 038 6 801
Total deductions R/ton 941 890 32 882 141
– Transport differential R/ton 615 615 840 100
– Grade differential R/ton 210 194
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 116 81 32 42 41
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 65 936
Net farm gate price R/ton 6 098 6 026 10 269 6 156 6 660
Gross income R/ha R15 244 R15 066 R16 943 R13 544 R9 989

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 44 43 49 39
Fertilizer R/ha 3 662 3 454 3 843 2 908 1 520
Lime R/ha 199 199 199 167
Seed R/ha 523 332 967 493 852
Fuel R/ha 703 719 716 699 647
Herbicide R/ha 1 735 1 234 1 230 839 758
Insecticide R/ha 279 281 474 202 186
Fungicides R/ha 569 848 362 416 190
Marketing costs R/ha 57 78 31
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 529 517 560 559 391
Casual labour R/ha 17 17 19 17 15
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 128 130 123 101 101
Total variable expenditure R/ha R8 445 R7 851 R8 570 R6 440 R4 659
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 378 R3 140 R5 194 R2 927 R3 106
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R6 799 R7 216 R8 373 R7 104 R5 330
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 720 R2 886 R5 057 R3 229 R3 553
Break-even yield T/ha 1.38 1.30 0.83 1.05 0.70
Break-even price R/ton R3 378 R3 140 R5 194 R2 927 R3 106
Source: SSK, GSA and BFAP, updated September 2022.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Rûens – normal potential)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Eastern Ruens - normal potential region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Eastern Rûens (normal potential)

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
R5 098 476 1 750 3 025 4 299 5 574 6 848 8 122
R5 348 913 2 250 3 587 4 924 6 261 7 598 8 935
R5 598 1 351 2 750 4 150 5 549 6 949 8 348 9 747
R5 848 1 788 3 250 4 712 6 174 7 636 9 098 10 560
R6 098 2 226 3 750 5 275 6 799 8 324 9 848 11 372
R6 348 2 663 4 250 5 837 7 424 9 011 10 598 12 185
R6 598 3 101 4 750 6 400 8 049 9 699 11 348 12 997
R6 848 3 538 5 250 6 962 8 674 10 386 12 098 13 810
R7 098 3 976 5 750 7 525 9 299 11 074 12 848 14 622
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
R5 026 946 2 202 3 459 4 716 5 972 7 229 8 485
R5 276 1 383 2 702 4 022 5 341 6 660 7 979 9 298
R5 526 1 821 3 202 4 584 5 966 7 347 8 729 10 110
R5 776 2 258 3 702 5 147 6 591 8 035 9 479 10 923
R6 026 2 696 4 202 5 709 7 216 8 722 10 229 11 735
R6 276 3 133 4 702 6 272 7 841 9 410 10 979 12 548
R6 526 3 571 5 202 6 834 8 466 10 097 11 729 13 360
R6 776 4 008 5 702 7 397 9 091 10 785 12 479 14 173
R7 026 4 446 6 202 7 959 9 716 11 472 13 229 14 985
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 0.90 1.15 1.40 1.65 1.90 2.15 2.40
R9 269 -228 2 089 4 406 6 723 9 040 11 357 13 674
R9 519 -3 2 376 4 756 7 136 9 515 11 895 14 274
R9 769 222 2 664 5 106 7 548 9 990 12 432 14 874
R10 019 447 2 951 5 456 7 961 10 465 12 970 15 474
R10 269 672 3 239 5 806 8 373 10 940 13 507 16 074
R10 519 897 3 526 6 156 8 786 11 415 14 045 16 674
R10 769 1 122 3 814 6 506 9 198 11 890 14 582 17 274
R11 019 1 347 4 101 6 856 9 611 12 365 15 120 17 874
R11 269 1 572 4 389 7 206 10 023 12 840 15 657 18 474
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R9 519 R9 769 R10 019 R10 269 R10 519 R10 769 R11 019
0.65 -9 182 -9 020 -8 857 -8 695 -8 532 -8 370 -8 207
0.90 -6 803 -6 578 -6 353 -6 128 -5 903 -5 678 -5 453
1.15 -4 423 -4 135 -3 848 -3 560 -3 273 -2 985 -2 698
1.40 -2 043 -1 693 -1 343 -993 -643 -293 57
1.65 336 749 1 161 1 574 1 986 2 399 2 811
1.90 2 716 3 191 3 666 4 141 4 616 5 091 5 566
2.15 5 096 5 633 6 171 6 708 7 246 7 783 8 321
2.40 7 475 8 075 8 675 9 275 9 875 10 475 11 075
2.65 9 855 10 517 11 180 11 842 12 505 13 167 13 830

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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