OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2023 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)
Area Southern Cape: Bredasdorp
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 3.00 1.65 2.40 1.40
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2023 R/ton 6 526 6 526 8 205 6 526 5 792
Total deductions R/ton 1 037 995 27 865 99
– Transport differential R/ton 750 750 832 99
– Grade differential R/ton 186 172
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 100 73 27 33 35
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 67 821
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 490 5 430 8 999 5 661 5 658
Gross income R/ha R16 469 R16 291 R14 848 R13 587 R7 921

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 47 47 43 39
Fertilizer R/ha 3 703 3 532 3 812 2 968 1 297
Lime R/ha 232 232 232 194 194
Seed R/ha 838 645 2 028 731 889
Fuel R/ha 799 816 791 781 710
Herbicide R/ha 1 427 1 090 1 151 950 890
Insecticide R/ha 383 214 545 161 165
Fungicides R/ha 821 1 059 679 415 412
Marketing costs R/ha 62 77 18
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 771 748 610 853 845
Casual labour R/ha 20 23 24 22 18
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 154 156 146 37 371
Total variable expenditure R/ha R9 257 R8 639 R10 080 R7 151 R5 458
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 086 R2 880 R6 109 R2 980 R3 899
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R7 212 R7 652 R4 769 R6 436 R2 463
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 404 R2 551 R2 890 R2 681 R1 759
Break-even yield T/ha 1.69 1.59 1.12 1.26 0.96
Break-even price R/ton R3 086 R2 880 R6 109 R2 980 R3 899
Source: Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2023.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)
Graph showing gross margin comparison for Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Overberg, Bredasdorp

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R4 490 844 1 967 3 089 4 212 5 334 6 456 7 579
R4 740 1 407 2 592 3 777 4 962 6 146 7 331 8 516
R4 990 1 969 3 217 4 464 5 712 6 959 8 206 9 454
R5 240 2 532 3 842 5 152 6 462 7 771 9 081 10 391
R5 490 3 094 4 467 5 839 7 212 8 584 9 956 11 329
R5 740 3 657 5 092 6 527 7 962 9 396 10 831 12 266
R5 990 4 219 5 717 7 214 8 712 10 209 11 706 13 204
R6 240 4 782 6 342 7 902 9 462 11 021 12 581 14 141
R6 490 5 344 6 967 8 589 10 212 11 834 13 456 15 079
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R4 430 1 329 2 437 3 545 4 652 5 760 6 867 7 975
R4 680 1 892 3 062 4 232 5 402 6 572 7 742 8 912
R4 930 2 454 3 687 4 920 6 152 7 385 8 617 9 850
R5 180 3 017 4 312 5 607 6 902 8 197 9 492 10 787
R5 430 3 579 4 937 6 295 7 652 9 010 10 367 11 725
R5 680 4 142 5 562 6 982 8 402 9 822 11 242 12 662
R5 930 4 704 6 187 7 670 9 152 10 635 12 117 13 600
R6 180 5 267 6 812 8 357 9 902 11 447 12 992 14 537
R6 430 5 829 7 437 9 045 10 652 12 260 13 867 15 475
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.05 1.30 1.55 1.65 1.80 2.05 2.30
R7 999 -1 681 319 2 319 3 119 4 318 6 318 8 318
R8 249 -1 418 644 2 706 3 531 4 768 6 831 8 893
R8 499 -1 156 969 3 094 3 944 5 218 7 343 9 468
R8 749 -893 1 294 3 481 4 356 5 668 7 856 10 043
R8 999 -631 1 619 3 869 4 769 6 118 8 368 10 618
R9 249 -368 1 944 4 256 5 181 6 568 8 881 11 193
R9 499 -106 2 269 4 644 5 594 7 018 9 393 11 768
R9 749 157 2 594 5 031 6 006 7 468 9 906 12 343
R9 999 419 2 919 5 419 6 419 7 918 10 418 12 918
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R8 249 R8 499 R8 749 R8 999 R9 249 R9 499 R9 749
0.80 -10 692 -10 492 -10 292 -10 092 -9 892 -9 692 -9 492
1.05 -8 630 -8 367 -8 105 -7 842 -7 580 -7 317 -7 055
1.30 -6 569 -6 243 -5 918 -5 593 -5 268 -4 943 -4 618
1.55 -4 505 -4 118 -3 730 -3 343 -2 955 -2 568 -2 180
1.65 -3 681 -3 268 -2 856 -2 443 -2 031 -1 618 -1 206
1.80 -2 443 -1 993 -1 543 -1 093 -643 -193 257
2.05 -381 132 644 1 157 1 669 2 182 2 694
2.30 1 681 2 256 2 831 3 406 3 981 4 556 5 131
2.55 3 743 4 381 5 018 5 656 6 293 6 931 7 568

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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