OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2023 Income and Cost Budgets

Western Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, canola and oats for Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
Area Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville
Crop Wheat Canola Oats
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 1.65 2.70
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2023 R/ton 6 526 8 205 6 526
Total deductions R/ton 1 040 27 865
– Transport differential R/ton 750 832
– Grade differential R/ton 186
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 104 27 33
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 821
Net farm gate price R/ton 5 486 8 999 5 661
Gross income R/ha R16 459 R14 848 R15 285

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 47 43 44
Fertilizer R/ha 4 303 3 912 3 115
Lime R/ha 232 194 238
Seed R/ha 913 1 352 672
Fuel R/ha 761 658 716
Herbicide R/ha 1 427 1 151 977
Insecticide R/ha 383 545 172
Fungicides R/ha 821 679 446
Marketing costs R/ha 62 18
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 868 754 782
Casual labour R/ha 20 24 22
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 105 93 93
Total variable expenditure R/ha R9 942 R9 424 R7 278
Total variable expenditure R/ton R3 314 R5 711 R2 695
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R6 518 R5 424 R8 007
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 173 R3 287 R2 966
Break-even yield T/ha 1.81 1.05 1.29
Break-even price R/ton R3 314 R5 711 R2 695
Source: Kaap Agri, GSA and BFAP, updated April 2023.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Swartland
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Western Cape (Swartland)

Gross margin per hectare: Western Cape – Moorreesburg, Malmesbury and Porterville

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R4 486 153 1 274 2 396 3 518 4 639 5 761 6 882
R4 736 715 1 899 3 084 4 268 5 452 6 636 7 820
R4 986 1 278 2 524 3 771 5 018 6 264 7 511 8 757
R5 236 1 840 3 149 4 459 5 768 7 077 8 386 9 695
R5 486 2 403 3 774 5 146 6 518 7 889 9 261 10 632
R5 736 2 965 4 399 5 834 7 268 8 702 10 136 11 570
R5 986 3 528 5 024 6 521 8 018 9 514 11 011 12 507
R6 236 4 090 5 649 7 209 8 768 10 327 11 886 13 445
R6 486 4 653 6 274 7 896 9 518 11 139 12 761 14 382
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.65 1.75 2.00 2.25
R7 999 -1 425 575 2 575 3 774 4 574 6 574 8 574
R8 249 -1 175 887 2 950 4 187 5 012 7 074 9 136
R8 499 -925 1 200 3 325 4 599 5 449 7 574 9 699
R8 749 -675 1 512 3 700 5 012 5 887 8 074 10 261
R8 999 -425 1 825 4 075 5 424 6 324 8 574 10 824
R9 249 -175 2 137 4 450 5 837 6 762 9 074 11 386
R9 499 75 2 450 4 825 6 249 7 199 9 574 11 949
R9 749 325 2 762 5 200 6 662 7 637 10 074 12 511
R9 999 575 3 075 5 575 7 074 8 074 10 574 13 074
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R8 249 R8 499 R8 749 R8 999 R9 249 R9 499 R9 749
0.50 -11 817 -11 692 -11 567 -11 442 -11 317 -11 192 -11 067
1.00 -7 693 -7 443 -7 193 -6 943 -6 693 -6 443 -6 193
1.25 -5 630 -5 318 -5 005 -4 693 -4 380 -4 068 -3 755
1.50 -3 568 -3 193 -2 818 -2 443 -2 068 -1 693 -1 318
1.65 -2 331 -1 918 -1 506 -1 093 -681 -268 144
1.75 -1 506 -1 068 -631 -193 244 682 1 119
2.00 556 1 056 1 556 2 056 2 556 3 056 3 556
2.25 2 619 3 181 3 744 4 306 4 869 5 431 5 994
2.50 4 681 5 306 5 931 6 556 7 181 7 806 8 431

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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