Third production forecast for 2019 summer crops and intentions to plant 2019 winter cereals.
Derde produksieskatting vir 2019 somergewasse en voorneme om 2019 wintergewasse te plant.
Summer crops
Winter Cereals
- Winter Cereals / Wintergewasse
- Wheat / Koring
- Graph: Wheat / Koring
- Graph: Malting barley / Moutgars
- Graph: Canola
- Notes / Aantekeninge
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
| Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Second forecast Tweede skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | ||
| Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
| Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
| White maize / Witmielies | 1 298 400 | 5 286 540 | 5 220 540 | 1 268 100 | 6 540 000 | +1.26 |
| Yellow maize / Geelmielies | 1 002 100 | 5 368 820 | 5 340 170 | 1 050 750 | 5 970 000 | +0.54 |
| Total Maize / Totale Mielies | 2 300 500 | 10 655 360 | 10 560 710 | 2 318 850 | 12 510 000 | +0.90 |
| Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad | 515 350 | 611 140 | 563 590 | 601 500 | 862 000 | +8.44 |
| Soybeans / Sojabone | 730 500 | 1 295 845 | 1 276 035 | 787 200 | 1 540 000 | +1.55 |
| Groundnuts / Grondbone | 20 050 | 22 705 | 20 100 | 56 300 | 57 000 | +12.96 |
| Sorghum | 50 500 | 165 850 | 168 400 | 28 800 | 115 000 | +1.50 |
| Dry beans / Droëbone | 59 300 | 72 450 | 70 950 | 53 360 | 69 360 | +2.11 |
| Total / Totaal | 3 676 200 | 12 823 350 | 12 654 785 | 3 846 010 | 15 153 360 | +1.33 |
Note: Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2018/19 = 2019
Nota: Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2018/19 = 2019
Production 1924-2019 Produksie
Yields 1924-2019 Opbrengste
| Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹ | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | ||||||||
| White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
| Ha | Ha | Ha | Tons | Tons | Tons | Ha | Ha | Ha | Tons | Tons | Tons |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | |||||||||||
| 400 | 3 400 | 3 800 | 3 600 | 30 600 | 34 200 | 0 | 3 750 | 3 750 | 0 | 33 750 | 33 750 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | |||||||||||
| 3 400 | 43 500 | 46 900 | 39 440 | 626 400 | 665 840 | 3 600 | 43 000 | 46 600 | 41 300 | 628 000 | 669 300 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | |||||||||||
| 650 000 | 380 000 | 1 030 000 | 2 567 500 | 1 596 000 | 4 163 500 | 644 000 | 410 000 | 1 054 000 | 3 350 000 | 1 925 000 | 5 275 000 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | |||||||||||
| 3 800 | 10 200 | 14 000 | 22 800 | 67 320 | 90 120 | 3 500 | 11 000 | 14 500 | 21 700 | 71 500 | 93 200 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | |||||||||||
| 45 000 | 54 000 | 99 000 | 270 000 | 378 000 | 648 000 | 45 000 | 50 000 | 95 000 | 280 000 | 380 000 | 660 000 |
| Mpumalanga | |||||||||||
| 145 000 | 338 000 | 483 000 | 812 000 | 1 859 000 | 2 671 000 | 140 000 | 340 000 | 480 000 | 812 000 | 2 005 000 | 2 817 000 |
| Limpopo | |||||||||||
| 12 800 | 18 000 | 30 800 | 83 200 | 117 000 | 200 200 | 12 000 | 21 000 | 33 000 | 90 000 | 141 700 | 231 700 |
| Gauteng | |||||||||||
| 48 000 | 60 000 | 108 000 | 240 000 | 324 000 | 564 000 | 50 000 | 62 000 | 112 000 | 275 000 | 356 500 | 631 500 |
| North West / Noordwes | |||||||||||
| 390 000 | 95 000 | 485 000 | 1 248 000 | 370 500 | 1 618 500 | 370 000 | 110 000 | 480 000 | 1 670 000 | 428 550 | 2 098 550 |
| Total / Totaal | |||||||||||
| 1 298 400 | 1 002 100 | 2 300 500 | 5 286 540 | 5 368 820 | 10 655 360 | 1 268 100 | 1 050 750 | 2 318 850 | 6 540 000 | 5 970 000 | 12 510 000 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | 100 | 100 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 950 | 1 140 | 1 600 | 1 920 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 270 000 | 351 000 | 314 000 | 490 000 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 100 | 250 | – | – |
| KwaZulu-Natal | – | – | – | – |
| Mpumalanga | 4 500 | 4 500 | 2 300 | 2 180 |
| Limpopo | 61 000 | 57 950 | 45 000 | 36 000 |
| Gauteng | 3 800 | 3 800 | 5 500 | 5 600 |
| North West / Noordwes | 175 000 | 192 500 | 233 000 | 326 200 |
| Total / Totaal | 515 350 | 611 140 | 601 500 | 862 000 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 100 | 10 | 800 | 1 200 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 1 550 | 5 425 | 3 000 | 10 500 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 301 000 | 451 500 | 345 000 | 552 000 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 1 150 | 1 380 | 2 400 | 2 900 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 33 000 | 102 300 | 40 000 | 124 000 |
| Mpumalanga | 310 000 | 573 500 | 310 000 | 672 700 |
| Limpopo | 16 200 | 46 980 | 20 000 | 54 000 |
| Gauteng | 31 500 | 66 150 | 30 000 | 61 500 |
| North West / Noordwes | 36 000 | 48 600 | 36 000 | 61 200 |
| Total / Totaal | 730 500 | 1 295 845 | 787 200 | 1 540 000 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 1 200 | 2 760 | 2 800 | 7 000 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 11 500 | 10 925 | 22 000 | 21 150 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
| KwaZulu-Natal | – | – | – | – |
| Mpumalanga | – | – | – | – |
| Limpopo | 1 850 | 4 070 | 3 500 | 7 350 |
| Gauteng | – | – | – | – |
| North West / Noordwes | 5 500 | 4 950 | 28 000 | 21 500 |
| Total / Totaal | 20 050 | 22 705 | 56 300 | 57 000 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 100 | 200 | 20 | 30 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 1 000 | 2 000 | 540 | 1 080 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 27 000 | 28 350 | 26 000 | 28 600 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 400 | 800 | 300 | 450 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 3 500 | 4 200 | 3 000 | 3 600 |
| Mpumalanga | 7 500 | 7 500 | 7 000 | 9 800 |
| Limpopo | 7 800 | 15 600 | 7 500 | 15 000 |
| Gauteng | 1 500 | 2 250 | 1 000 | 1 200 |
| North West / Noordwes | 10 500 | 11 550 | 8 000 | 9 600 |
| Total / Totaal | 59 300 | 72 450 | 53 360 | 69 360 |
| Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
| 2019 | 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 8 000 | 30 400 | 6 300 | 25 200 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 500 | 1 750 | 500 | 2 200 |
| Mpumalanga | 7 500 | 37 500 | 7 500 | 40 500 |
| Limpopo | 25 000 | 67 500 | 5 000 | 15 500 |
| Gauteng | 1 000 | 3 200 | 1 500 | 4 950 |
| North West / Noordwes | 8 500 | 25 500 | 8 000 | 26 650 |
| Total / Totaal | 50 500 | 165 850 | 28 800 | 115 000 |
Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and third production forecast (2019) / Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting (2019)
Summer field crops – 2019
Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 10,655 million tons, which is 0,90% or 94 650 tons more than the previous forecast of 10,561 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,301 million ha, while the expected yield is 4,63 t/ha.
The estimated maize crop is 15% smaller than the 2018 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 79% of the 2019 crop.
The area estimate for white maize is1,298 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,002 million ha.
The production forecast of white maize is 5,287 million tons, which is 1,26% or 66 000 tons more than the 5,221 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 4,07 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 5,369 million tons, which is 0,54% or 28 650 tons more than the 5,340 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,36 t/ha.
The yield per ha for the Mpumalanga province was based on scientific and objective results provided by the ARC. Please note that the objective results for the Free State and North West provinces will be available in May 2019.
Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 611 140 tons, which is 8,44% or 47 550 tons more than the previous forecast of 563 590 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 515 350 ha, while the expected yield is 1,19 t/ha.
Other crops
The production forecast for soybeans has been set at 1,296 millions tons, which is 1,55% or 19 810 tons higher than the 1,276 millions tons of the previous forecast. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 730 500 ha and the expected yield is 1,77 t/ha.
The expected groundnut crop increased by 12,96% or 2 605 tons, from 20 100 tons to 22 705 tons, with an expected yield of 1,13 t/ha. Please note that a correction was made with regard to the area planted to groundnuts in the Free State (3 500 ha added) and North West (3 500 ha deducted) provinces. The national area estimate for groundnuts has remained unchanged at 20 050 ha.
The production forecast for sorghum is 165 850 tons, which is 1,50% or 2 450 tons more than the 163 400 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 50 500 ha and the expected yield is 3,28 t/ha.
In the case of dry beans, the production forecast also increased slightly by 1 500 tons, from 70 950 tons to 72 450 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 59 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,22 t/ha.
Please note that the fourth production forecast for summer field crops for 2019 will be released on 28 May 2019.
Information is available on the internet at:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Somergewasse – 2019
Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 10,655 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,90% of 94 650 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 10,561 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,301 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 4,63 t/ha is.
Die geskatte mielie-oes is 15% kleiner as die 2018-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 79% van die 2019-oes produseer.
Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,298 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 1,002 miljoen ha.
Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 5,287 miljoen ton, 1,26% of 66 000 ton meer as die 5,221 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 4,07 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 5,369 miljoen ton, wat 0,54% of 28 650 ton meer is as die 5,340 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,36 t/ha.
Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Mpumalanga provinsie is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR. Neem kennis dat die objektiewe resultate vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies, in Mei 2019 gerapporteer sal word.
Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 611 140 ton, wat 8,44% of 47 550 ton meer is as die vorige skatting se 563 590 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 515 350 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,19 t/ha is.
Ander gewasse
Die produksieskatting van sojabone is op 1,296 miljoene ton gestel, wat 1,55% of 19 810 ton hoër is as die 1,276 miljoene ton van die vorige skatting. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 730 500 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,77 t/ha.
Die verwagte grondbone-oes het met 12,96% of 2 605 ton toegeneem, vanaf 20 100 ton na 22 705 ton, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,13 t/ha is. Neem asseblief kennis dat 'n korreksie gemaak is ten opigte van die oppervlakte beplant met grondbone in die Vrystaat (3 500 ha bygevoeg) en Noordwes (3 500 ha afgetrek) provinsies. Die nasionale oppervlakteskatting vir grondbone is wel onveranderd gelaat op 20 050 ha.
Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 165 850 ton, wat 1,50% of 2 450 ton meer is as die 163 400 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 50 500 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,28 t/ha.
In die geval van droëbone het die produksieskatting effens met 1 500 ton toegeneem, vanaf 70 950 ton na 72 450 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 59 300 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,22 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2019, op 28 Mei 2019 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
| Crop / Gewas | Intentions * Voorneme * |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final estimate Finale skatting |
Change / Verandering |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | ||
| Ha | Ha | Tons | % | |
| (A) | (B) | (C) | (A) ÷ (B) | |
| Wheat / Koring | 513 450 | 503 350 | 1 841 050 | +2.01 |
| Malting barley / Moutgars | 118 500 | 119 000 | 421 790 | -0.42 |
| Canola | 80 000 | 77 000 | 103 950 | +3.90 |
| Total / totaal | 711 950 | 699 350 | 2 366 790 | +1.80 |
* Based on conditions at the middle of April 2019. / Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2019.
| Province / Provinsie | Intentions Voorneme |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final estimate Finale skatting |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2018 | 2018 | |
| Ha | Ha | Tons | |
| Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 324 000 | 318 000 | 890 400 |
| Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 34 000 | 38 000 | 294 500 |
| Free State / Vrystaat | 105 000 | 100 000 | 360 000 |
| Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 3 500 | 1 650 | 10 725 |
| KwaZulu-Natal | 7 500 | 7 000 | 43 400 |
| Mpumalanga | 3 450 | 3 500 | 22 225 |
| Limpopo | 22 000 | 20 000 | 128 000 |
| Gauteng | 1 000 | 1 200 | 7 800 |
| North West / Noordwes | 13 000 | 14 000 | 84 000 |
| Total / Totaal | 513 450 | 503 350 | 1 841 050 |
Area 2005-2019 Oppervlakte
Area 2005-2019 Oppervlakte
Area 2005-2019 Oppervlakte
Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant for 2019 / Voorneme om vir 2019 te plant
Winter cereal crops – 2019
Producers' intentions to plant winter cereals are based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries and reflects the position as at the middle of April 2019.
The figures for wheat represent the total number of hectares that are intended to be planted for grain, excluding any hectares that will be planted for fodder and grazing.
Early indications are that producers intend to plant 513 450 ha of wheat for the 2019 production season. This is 2,01% or 10 100 ha more than the 503 350 ha planted to wheat in 2018.
The main producing areas are within the Western Cape with 324 000 ha (63%), followed by the Free State with 105 000 ha (20%) and the Northern Cape with 34 000 ha (7%).
The expected area planted to malting barley is 118 500 ha, which is 0,42% or 500 ha less than the 119 000 ha of the previous year.
The expected area planted to canola is 80 000 ha, which is 3,90% or 3 000 ha more than the 77 000 ha planted in 2018.
Please note that the preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2019 will be released on 25 July 2019.
Information is available on the internet at:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Wintergewasse – 2019
Produsente se voorneme om wintergewasse te plant is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou, Bosbou en Visserye en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van April 2019.
Die syfers vir koring verteenwoordig die totale aantal hektare wat werklik beplant gaan word vir graan, uitgesluit alle hektare wat beplant gaan word vir groenvoer en weiding.
Vroeë aanduidings is dat produsente van voorneme is om 513 450 ha koring te plant vir die 2019-produksie-seisoen. Dit is 2,01% of 10 100 ha meer koring aangeplant as doe 503 350 ha in 2018.
Die grootste produserende gebiede is in die Wes-Kaap, met 324 000 ha (63%), gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 105 000 ha (20%) en die Noord-Kaap met 34 000 ha (7%).
Die verwagte aanplantings van moutgars is 118 500 ha – 0,42% of 500 ha minder as die 119 000 ha van die vorige jaar.
Die verwagte aanplantings van canola is 80 000 ha, wat 3,90% of 3 000 ha meer is as die 77 000 ha wat aangeplant was in 2018.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige oppervlakteskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2019 op 25 Julie 2019 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting
- Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
- No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
- The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
- No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
- Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
- Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
- Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.