OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


Third production forecast for 2019 summer crops and intentions to plant 2019 winter cereals.
Derde produksieskatting vir 2019 somergewasse en voorneme om 2019 wintergewasse te plant.

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and third production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2019 2019 2019 2018 2018
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 298 400 5 286 540 5 220 540 1 268 100 6 540 000 +1.26
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 1 002 100 5 368 820 5 340 170 1 050 750 5 970 000 +0.54
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 300 500 10 655 360 10 560 710 2 318 850 12 510 000 +0.90
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 515 350 611 140 563 590 601 500 862 000 +8.44
Soybeans / Sojabone 730 500 1 295 845 1 276 035 787 200 1 540 000 +1.55
Groundnuts / Grondbone 20 050 22 705 20 100 56 300 57 000 +12.96
Sorghum 50 500 165 850 168 400 28 800 115 000 +1.50
Dry beans / Droëbone 59 300 72 450 70 950 53 360 69 360 +2.11
Total / Totaal 3 676 200 12 823 350 12 654 785 3 846 010 15 153 360 +1.33

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2018/19 = 2019
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2018/19 = 2019

Maize / Mielies
Production   1924-2019   Produksie
RSA maize production 1924-2019
Maize / Mielies
Yields   1924-2019   Opbrengste
RSA maize yields 1924-2019
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and third production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹
2019 2019 2018 2018
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200 0 3 750 3 750 0 33 750 33 750
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 400 43 500 46 900 39 440 626 400 665 840 3 600 43 000 46 600 41 300 628 000 669 300
Free State / Vrystaat
650 000 380 000 1 030 000 2 567 500 1 596 000 4 163 500 644 000 410 000 1 054 000 3 350 000 1 925 000 5 275 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
3 800 10 200 14 000 22 800 67 320 90 120 3 500 11 000 14 500 21 700 71 500 93 200
KwaZulu-Natal
45 000 54 000 99 000 270 000 378 000 648 000 45 000 50 000 95 000 280 000 380 000 660 000
Mpumalanga
145 000 338 000 483 000 812 000 1 859 000 2 671 000 140 000 340 000 480 000 812 000 2 005 000 2 817 000
Limpopo
12 800 18 000 30 800 83 200 117 000 200 200 12 000 21 000 33 000 90 000 141 700 231 700
Gauteng
48 000 60 000 108 000 240 000 324 000 564 000 50 000 62 000 112 000 275 000 356 500 631 500
North West / Noordwes
390 000 95 000 485 000 1 248 000 370 500 1 618 500 370 000 110 000 480 000 1 670 000 428 550 2 098 550
Total / Totaal
1 298 400 1 002 100 2 300 500 5 286 540 5 368 820 10 655 360 1 268 100 1 050 750 2 318 850 6 540 000 5 970 000 12 510 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and third production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 100
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 950 1 140 1 600 1 920
Free State / Vrystaat 270 000 351 000 314 000 490 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 100 250
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga 4 500 4 500 2 300 2 180
Limpopo 61 000 57 950 45 000 36 000
Gauteng 3 800 3 800 5 500 5 600
North West / Noordwes 175 000 192 500 233 000 326 200
Total / Totaal 515 350 611 140 601 500 862 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and third production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 10 800 1 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 550 5 425 3 000 10 500
Free State / Vrystaat 301 000 451 500 345 000 552 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 150 1 380 2 400 2 900
KwaZulu-Natal 33 000 102 300 40 000 124 000
Mpumalanga 310 000 573 500 310 000 672 700
Limpopo 16 200 46 980 20 000 54 000
Gauteng 31 500 66 150 30 000 61 500
North West / Noordwes 36 000 48 600 36 000 61 200
Total / Totaal 730 500 1 295 845 787 200 1 540 000
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2019  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 2 760 2 800 7 000
Free State / Vrystaat 11 500 10 925 22 000 21 150
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 1 850 4 070 3 500 7 350
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 5 500 4 950 28 000 21 500
Total / Totaal 20 050 22 705 56 300 57 000
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2019  Hppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 200 20 30
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 000 2 000 540 1 080
Free State / Vrystaat 27 000 28 350 26 000 28 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 400 800 300 450
KwaZulu-Natal 3 500 4 200 3 000 3 600
Mpumalanga 7 500 7 500 7 000 9 800
Limpopo 7 800 15 600 7 500 15 000
Gauteng 1 500 2 250 1 000 1 200
North West / Noordwes 10 500 11 550 8 000 9 600
Total / Totaal 59 300 72 450 53 360 69 360
Sorghum
Area planted and third production forecast  2019  Hppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2019 2019 2018 2018
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 30 400 6 300 25 200
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 500 1 750 500 2 200
Mpumalanga 7 500 37 500 7 500 40 500
Limpopo 25 000 67 500 5 000 15 500
Gauteng 1 000 3 200 1 500 4 950
North West / Noordwes 8 500 25 500 8 000 26 650
Total / Totaal 50 500 165 850 28 800 115 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and third production forecast (2019) / Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting (2019)

Summer field crops – 2019

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 10,655 million tons, which is 0,90% or 94 650 tons more than the previous forecast of 10,561 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,301 million ha, while the expected yield is 4,63 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 15% smaller than the 2018 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 79% of the 2019 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is1,298 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,002 million ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 5,287 million tons, which is 1,26% or 66 000 tons more than the 5,221 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 4,07 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 5,369 million tons, which is 0,54% or 28 650 tons more than the 5,340 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,36 t/ha.

The yield per ha for the Mpumalanga province was based on scientific and objective results provided by the ARC. Please note that the objective results for the Free State and North West provinces will be available in May 2019.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 611 140 tons, which is 8,44% or 47 550 tons more than the previous forecast of 563 590 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 515 350 ha, while the expected yield is 1,19 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans has been set at 1,296 millions tons, which is 1,55% or 19 810 tons higher than the 1,276 millions tons of the previous forecast. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 730 500 ha and the expected yield is 1,77 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop increased by 12,96% or 2 605 tons, from 20 100 tons to 22 705 tons, with an expected yield of 1,13 t/ha. Please note that a correction was made with regard to the area planted to groundnuts in the Free State (3 500 ha added) and North West (3 500 ha deducted) provinces. The national area estimate for groundnuts has remained unchanged at 20 050 ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 165 850 tons, which is 1,50% or 2 450 tons more than the 163 400 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 50 500 ha and the expected yield is 3,28 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast also increased slightly by 1 500 tons, from 70 950 tons to 72 450 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 59 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,22 t/ha.


Please note that the fourth production forecast for summer field crops for 2019 will be released on 28 May 2019.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2019

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 10,655 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,90% of 94 650 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 10,561 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,301 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 4,63 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 15% kleiner as die 2018-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 79% van die 2019-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,298 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 1,002 miljoen ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 5,287 miljoen ton, 1,26% of 66 000 ton meer as die 5,221 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 4,07 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 5,369 miljoen ton, wat 0,54% of 28 650 ton meer is as die 5,340 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,36 t/ha.

Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Mpumalanga provinsie is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR. Neem kennis dat die objektiewe resultate vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies, in Mei 2019 gerapporteer sal word.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is 611 140 ton, wat 8,44% of 47 550 ton meer is as die vorige skatting se 563 590 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 515 350 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,19 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is op 1,296 miljoene ton gestel, wat 1,55% of 19 810 ton hoër is as die 1,276 miljoene ton van die vorige skatting. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 730 500 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,77 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes het met 12,96% of 2 605 ton toegeneem, vanaf 20 100 ton na 22 705 ton, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,13 t/ha is. Neem asseblief kennis dat 'n korreksie gemaak is ten opigte van die oppervlakte beplant met grondbone in die Vrystaat (3 500 ha bygevoeg) en Noordwes (3 500 ha afgetrek) provinsies. Die nasionale oppervlakte­skatting vir grondbone is wel onveranderd gelaat op 20 050 ha.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 165 850 ton, wat 1,50% of 2 450 ton meer is as die 163 400 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 50 500 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,28 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone het die produksieskatting effens met 1 500 ton toegeneem, vanaf 70 950 ton na 72 450 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 59 300 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,22 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksie­skatting vir somergewasse vir 2019, op 28 Mei 2019 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant  2019  Voorneme om te plant
Crop / Gewas Intentions *
Voorneme *
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Change / Verandering
2019 2018 2018
Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (A) ÷ (B)
Wheat / Koring 513 450 503 350 1 841 050 +2.01
Malting barley / Moutgars 118 500 119 000 421 790 -0.42
Canola 80 000 77 000 103 950 +3.90
Total / totaal 711 950 699 350 2 366 790 +1.80

*  Based on conditions at the middle of April 2019. / Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2019.

Wheat / Koring
Intentions to plant  2019  Voorneme om te plant
Province / Provinsie Intentions
Voorneme
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
2019 2018 2018
Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 324 000 318 000 890 400
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 34 000 38 000 294 500
Free State / Vrystaat 105 000 100 000 360 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 3 500 1 650 10 725
KwaZulu-Natal 7 500 7 000 43 400
Mpumalanga 3 450 3 500 22 225
Limpopo 22 000 20 000 128 000
Gauteng 1 000 1 200 7 800
North West / Noordwes 13 000 14 000 84 000
Total / Totaal 513 450 503 350 1 841 050
RSA Wheat / RSA Koring
Area   2005-2019   Oppervlakte
RSA wheat area 2005-2019 graph
RSA Malting barley / RSA Moutgars
Area   2005-2019   Oppervlakte
Graph of RSA malting barley area 2005-2019
RSA Canola
Area   2005-2019   Oppervlakte
RSA canola area 2005-2019 graph

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant for 2019 / Voorneme om vir 2019 te plant

Winter cereal crops – 2019

Producers' intentions to plant winter cereals are based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries and reflects the position as at the middle of April 2019.

The figures for wheat represent the total number of hectares that are intended to be planted for grain, excluding any hectares that will be planted for fodder and grazing.

Early indications are that producers intend to plant 513 450 ha of wheat for the 2019 production season. This is 2,01% or 10 100 ha more than the 503 350 ha planted to wheat in 2018.

The main producing areas are within the Western Cape with 324 000 ha (63%), followed by the Free State with 105 000 ha (20%) and the Northern Cape with 34 000 ha (7%).

The expected area planted to malting barley is 118 500 ha, which is 0,42% or 500 ha less than the 119 000 ha of the previous year.

The expected area planted to canola is 80 000 ha, which is 3,90% or 3 000 ha more than the 77 000 ha planted in 2018.


Please note that the preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2019 will be released on 25 July 2019.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2019

Produsente se voorneme om wintergewasse te plant is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou, Bosbou en Visserye en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van April 2019.

Die syfers vir koring verteenwoordig die totale aantal hektare wat werklik beplant gaan word vir graan, uitgesluit alle hektare wat beplant gaan word vir groenvoer en weiding.

Vroeë aanduidings is dat produsente van voorneme is om 513 450 ha koring te plant vir die 2019-produksie-seisoen. Dit is 2,01% of 10 100 ha meer koring aangeplant as doe 503 350 ha in 2018.

Die grootste produserende gebiede is in die Wes-Kaap, met 324 000 ha (63%), gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 105 000 ha (20%) en die Noord-Kaap met 34 000 ha (7%).

Die verwagte aanplantings van moutgars is 118 500 ha – 0,42% of 500 ha minder as die 119 000 ha van die vorige jaar.

Die verwagte aanplantings van canola is 80 000 ha, wat 3,90% of 3 000 ha meer is as die 77 000 ha wat aangeplant was in 2018.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige opper­vlakteskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2019 op 25 Julie 2019 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
  • No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.