OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2021 Income and Cost Budgets

Free State – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat for Eastern and Central Free State
Area Eastern Free State Central Free State
Crop Wheat Wheat
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 2.50 2.50
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2021 R/ton 4 955 4 955
Total deductions R/ton 383 388
– Transport differential R/ton 283 288
– Grade differential R/ton 3 3
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 97 97
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 4 572 4 567
Gross income R/ha R11 430 R11 419

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha 821 821
Crop insurance R/ha 354 913
Fertilizer R/ha 1 848 1 556
Lime R/ha 420 519
Seed R/ha 497 497
Fuel R/ha 824 886
Herbicide R/ha 297 315
Insecticide R/ha 580 172
Fungicides R/ha
Marketing costs R/ha 43 43
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 647 1 026
Casual labour R/ha
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 13
Total variable expenditure R/ha R6 344 R6 748
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 537 R2 699
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R5 086 R4 670
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 034 R1 868
Break-even yield T/ha 1.39 1.48
Break-even price R/ton R2 537 R2 699
Source: VKB, GSA and BFAP, April 2021.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Free State (Eastern and Central regions)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Free State (Eastern and Central regions)

Gross margin per hectare: Central Free State

Wheat sensitivity analysis: Eastern Free State
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
R3 572 -93 800 1 693 2 586 3 479 4 372 5 265
R3 822 345 1 300 2 256 3 211 4 167 5 122 6 077
R4 072 782 1 800 2 818 3 836 4 854 5 872 6 890
R4 322 1 220 2 300 3 381 4 461 5 542 6 622 7 702
R4 572 1 657 2 800 3 943 5 086 6 229 7 372 8 515
R4 822 2 095 3 300 4 506 5 711 6 917 8 122 9 327
R5 072 2 532 3 800 5 068 6 336 7 604 8 872 10 140
R5 322 2 970 4 300 5 631 6 961 8 292 9 622 10 952
R5 572 3 407 4 800 6 193 7 586 8 979 10 372 11 765
Wheat sensitivity analysis: Eastern Free State
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25
R3 567 -505 387 1 278 2 170 3 062 3 954 4 846
R3 817 -68 887 1 841 2 795 3 750 4 704 5 658
R4 067 370 1 387 2 403 3 420 4 437 5 454 6 471
R4 317 807 1 887 2 966 4 045 5 125 6 204 7 283
R4 567 1 245 2 387 3 528 4 670 5 812 6 954 8 096
R4 817 1 682 2 887 4 091 5 295 6 500 7 704 8 908
R5 067 2 120 3 387 4 653 5 920 7 187 8 454 9 721
R5 317 2 557 3 887 5 216 6 545 7 875 9 204 10 533
R5 567 2 995 4 387 5 778 7 170 8 562 9 954 11 346

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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