OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


WINTER CROPS  //  2021 Income and Cost Budgets

Southern Cape – dryland

Income and cost budgets for wheat, barley, canola, oats and lupins for Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)
Area Southern Cape: Bredasdorp
Crop Wheat Barley Canola Oats Lupins
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 3.00 3.00 1.60 2.40 1.20
SAFEX simulated / derived price: 2021 R/ton 4 955 4 955 6 700 4 955 4 450
Total deductions R/ton 714 677 30 865 100
– Transport differential R/ton 600 600 825 100
– Grade differential R/ton 3
– Marketing, handling and statutory levies R/ton 111 77 30 40 39
Price premiums / Canola back-payment (10% of contracted price) R/ton 65 670
Net farm gate price R/ton 4 241 4 212 7 340 4 091 4 311
Gross income R/ha R12 723 R12 637 R11 744 R9 817 R5 174

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 37 36 34 28 15
Fertilizer R/ha 1 999 1 906 2 083 1 542 940
Lime R/ha 181 181 181 152 152
Seed R/ha 594 453 1 367 486 784
Fuel R/ha 695 750 715 656 739
Herbicide R/ha 731 606 517 406 438
Insecticide R/ha 277 273 727 202 170
Fungicides R/ha 505 607 447 397 265
Marketing costs R/ha 56 70 16
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 715 737 610 699 676
Casual labour R/ha 8 8 8 8 8
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 121 122 115 107 96
Total variable expenditure R/ha R5 918 R5 748 R6 820 R4 681 R4 282
Total variable expenditure R/ton R1 973 R1 916 R4 262 R1 951 R3 568
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R6 805 R6 889 R4 924 R5 136 R892
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R2 268 R2 296 R3 078 R2 140 R743
Break-even yield T/ha 1.40 1.36 0.93 1.14 0.99
Break-even price R/ton R1 973 R1 916 R4 262 R1 951878 R3 568
Source: Overberg Agri, GSA and BFAP, April 2021.
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)
Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Southern Cape (Bredasdorp region)

Gross margin per hectare: Southern Cape – Overberg, Bredasdorp

Wheat sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R3 241 1 374 2 184 2 994 3 805 4 615 5 425 6 235
R3 491 1 936 2 809 3 682 4 555 5 427 6 300 7 173
R3 741 2 499 3 434 4 369 5 305 6 240 7 175 8 110
R3 991 3 061 4 059 5 057 6 055 7 052 8 050 9 048
R4 241 3 624 4 684 5 744 6 805 7 865 8 925 9 985
R4 491 4 186 5 309 6 432 7 555 8 677 9 800 10 923
R4 741 4 749 5 934 7 119 8 305 9 490 10 675 11 860
R4 991 5 311 6 559 7 807 9 055 10 302 11 550 12 798
R5 241 5 874 7 184 8 494 9 805 11 115 12 425 13 735
Barley sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 2.25 2.50 2.75 3.00 3.25 3.50 3.75
R3 212 1 480 2 283 3 086 3 889 4 692 5 495 6 299
R3 462 2 042 2 908 3 774 4 639 5 505 6 370 7 236
R3 712 2 605 3 533 4 461 5 389 6 317 7 245 8 174
R3 962 3 167 4 158 5 149 6 139 7 130 8 120 9 111
R4 212 3 730 4 783 5 836 6 889 7 942 8 995 10 049
R4 462 4 292 5 408 6 524 7 639 8 755 9 870 10 986
R4 712 4 855 6 033 7 211 8 389 9 567 10 745 11 924
R4 962 5 417 6 658 7 899 9 139 10 380 11 620 12 861
R0 5 980 7 283 8 586 9 889 11 192 12 495 13 799
Canola sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.60 1.75 2.00 2.25
R6 340 -480 1 105 2 690 3 324 4 275 5 860 7 445
R6 590 -230 1 418 3 065 3 724 4 713 6 360 8 008
R6 840 20 1 730 3 440 4 124 5 150 6 860 8 570
R7 090 270 2 043 3 815 4 524 5 588 7 360 9 133
R7 340 520 2 355 4 190 4 924 6 025 7 860 9 695
R7 590 770 2 668 4 565 5 324 6 463 8 360 10 258
R7 840 1 020 2 980 4 940 5 724 6 900 8 860 10 820
R8 090 1 270 3 293 5 315 6 124 7 338 9 360 11 383
R8 340 1 520 3 605 5 690 6 524 7 775 9 860 11 945
Canola margin above/below wheat
Yield Price (R/ton)
R6 590 R6 840 R7 090 R7 340 R7 590 R7 840 R8 090
0.75 -8 682 -8 494 -8 307 -8 119 -7 932 -7 744 -7 557
1.00 -7 034 -6 784 -6 534 -6 284 -6 034 -5 784 -5 534
1.25 -5 387 -5 074 -4 762 -4 449 -4 137 -3 824 -3 512
1.50 -3 739 -3 364 -2 989 -2 614 -2 239 -1 864 -1 489
1.60 -3 080 -2 680 -2 280 -1 880 -1 480 -1 080 -680
1.75 -2 092 -1 654 -1 217 -779 -342 96 533
2.00 -444 56 556 1 056 1 556 2 056 2 556
2.25 1 203 1 766 2 328 2 891 3 453 4 016 4 578
2.50 2 851 3 476 4 101 4 726 5 351 5 976 6 601

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The costs for wheat, barley and oats seeds reflect a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for. Overhead costs such as interest on production loans, labour, management and administration will vary to a large extent from producer to producer. Producers will therefore have to deduct the farm business' overhead cost from the gross margins as stipulated in the tables and figures to calculate the net income per crop.
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