2023/2024 ICB: Dryland summer crops at Koster, North West

OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


2023/2024 SUMMER CROPS  //  Income and Cost Budgets

North West (Koster) – dryland

Income and cost budgets for maize, soybeans and sunflower for North West in the Koster region
Area North West: Koster
Crop Maize Soybeans Sunflower
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 4.75 2.00 2.00
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2024 R/ton 3 779 8 109 8 332
Total deductions R/ton 297 275 320
– Transport differential R/ton 205 152 223
– Grade differential R/ton 26
– Handling and commission R/ton 66 66 97
– Seed breeding and technology levy R/ton 58
Price premiums R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 3 482 7 834 8 012
Gross income R/ha R16 537 R15 667 R16 024

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha
Crop insurance R/ha 348 1 754 465
Fertilizer R/ha 3 354 1 349 1 918
Lime R/ha 381
Seed R/ha 1 297 1 007 796
Fuel R/ha 1 438 1 179 1 172
Herbicide R/ha 1 094 1 518 1 066
Insecticide / Fungicides R/ha 796 285 417
Marketing costs R/ha
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 919 690 789
Casual labour R/ha 230
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha
Total variable expenditure R/ha R9 855 R7 782 R6 622
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 075 R3 891 R3 311
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R6 682 R7 885 R9 402
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 407 R3 943 R4 701
Break-even yield T/ha 2.83 0.99 0.83
Break-even price R/ton R2 075 R3 891 R3 311
Source: BFAP, GSA, NWK and individual farmers – 2023.
Gross margin comparison – baseline: North West (Koster and Lichtenburg)
Gross margin comparison - Baseline: North West: Koster and Lichtenburg

Gross margin per hectare: North West (Koster)

Maize sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 3.25 3.75 4.25 4.75 5.25 5.75 6.25
R3 082 160 1 701 3 241 4 782 6 323 7 864 9 404
R3 182 485 2 076 3 666 5 257 6 848 8 439 10 029
R3 282 810 2 451 4 091 5 732 7 373 9 014 10 654
R3 382 1 135 2 826 4 516 6 207 7 898 9 589 11 279
R3 482 1 460 3 201 4 941 6 682 8 423 10 164 11 904
R3 582 1 785 3 576 5 366 7 157 8 948 10 739 12 529
R3 682 2 110 3 951 5 791 7 632 9 473 11 314 13 154
R3 782 2 435 4 326 6 216 8 107 9 998 11 889 13 779
R3 882 2 760 4 701 6 641 8 582 10 523 12 464 14 404
Soybeans sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75
R7 434 1 510 3 368 5 227 7 085 8 943 10 802 12 660
R7 534 1 635 3 518 5 402 7 285 9 168 11 052 12 935
R7 634 1 760 3 668 5 577 7 485 9 393 11 302 13 210
R7 734 1 885 3 818 5 752 7 685 9 618 11 552 13 485
R7 834 2 010 3 968 5 927 7 885 9 843 11 802 13 760
R7 934 2 135 4 118 6 102 8 085 10 068 12 052 14 035
R8 034 2 260 4 268 6 277 8 285 10 293 12 302 14 310
R8 134 2 385 4 418 6 452 8 485 10 518 12 552 14 585
R8 234 2 510 4 568 6 627 8 685 10 743 12 802 14 860
Sunflower sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75
R7 612 2 893 4 796 6 699 8 602 10 505 12 408 14 311
R7 712 3 018 4 946 6 874 8 802 10 730 12 658 14 586
R7 812 3 143 5 096 7 049 9 002 10 955 12 908 14 861
R7 912 3 268 5 246 7 224 9 202 11 180 13 158 15 136
R8 012 3 393 5 396 7 399 9 402 11 405 13 408 15 411
R8 112 3 518 5 546 7 574 9 602 11 630 13 658 15 686
R8 212 3 643 5 696 7 749 9 802 11 855 13 908 15 961
R8 312 3 768 5 846 7 924 10 002 12 080 14 158 16 236
R8 412 3 893 5 996 8 099 10 202 12 305 14 408 16 511
Soybeans margin above/below maize
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 534 R7 634 R7 734 R7 834 R7 934 R8 034 R8 134
1.00 -6 931 -6 831 -6 731 -6 631 -6 531 -6 431 -6 331
1.25 -5 047 -4 922 -4 797 -4 672 -4 547 -4 422 -4 297
1.50 -3 164 -3 014 -2 864 -2 714 -2 564 -2 414 -2 264
1.75 -1 280 -1 105 -930 -755 -580 -405 -230
2.00 603 803 1 003 1 203 1 403 1 603 1 803
2.25 2 486 2 711 2 936 3 161 3 386 3 611 3 836
2.50 4 370 4 620 4 870 5 120 5 370 5 620 5 870
2.75 6 253 6 528 6 803 7 078 7 353 7 628 7 903
3.00 8 136 8 436 8 736 9 036 9 336 9 636 9 936

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • Other macro- and microelements such as calcium, magnesium and zinc are included in the fertiliser costs.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The cost for soybean seed reflects a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • There will be large fluctuations for insurance cost (hail) based on the associated risk in respective areas. It is advised that producers adjust this cost based on their individual premiums.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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