2023/2024 ICB: Dryland soybean and maize in Eastern Free State

OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


2023/2024 SUMMER CROPS  //  Income and Cost Budgets

Eastern Free State – dryland

Income and cost budgets for maize, soybeans, sunflower and dry beans for Eastern Free State
Crop Maize Soybeans Sunflower Dry beans
Production system Dryland

1. Income

Yield: deterministic Ton/ha 5.50 2.00 1.80 1.50
SAFEX simulated price / producer price: 2024 R/ton 3 766 8 109 8 332 20 493
Total deductions R/ton 463 407 380 540
– Transport differential R/ton 382 284 283
– Grade differential R/ton 18
– Handling and commission R/ton 60 66 97 540
– Seed breeding and technology levy R/ton 58
Price premiums R/ton
Net farm gate price R/ton 3 303 7 702 7 952 19 953
Gross income R/ha R18 166 R15 403 R14 314 R29 929

2. Variable expenditures

Contracting R/ha 1 375
Crop insurance R/ha 654 1 725 615 2 095
Fertilizer R/ha 3 902 1 654 1 617 3 228
Lime R/ha 692 589
Seed R/ha 2 077 1 539 909 4 839
Fuel R/ha 1 521 1 201 1 150 978
Herbicide R/ha 1 394 1 137 1 359 1 068
Insecticide / Fungicides R/ha 718 250 287 3 313
Marketing costs R/ha
Repairs and maintenance R/ha 1 143 883 907 736
Casual labour R/ha 266 2 200
Aerial spray R/ha
Other expenditure R/ha 120
Total variable expenditure R/ha R12 368 R8 388 R6 844 R20 542
Total variable expenditure R/ton R2 249 R4 194 R3 802 R13 694
3.1 Gross margin R/ha R5 798 R7 015 R7 470 R9 388
3.2 Gross margin R/ton R1 054 R3 507 R4 150 R6 259
Break-even yield T/ha 3.74 1.09 0.86 1.03
Break-even price R/ton R2 249 R4 194 R3 802 R13 694
Source: BFAP, GSA, VKB and individual farmers – 2023.
Gross margin comparison – baseline: Eastern Free State
Figure 2.3: Gross margin comparison – Baseline: Eastern Free State

Gross margin per hectare: Eastern Free State

Maize sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 4.00 4.50 5.00 5.50 6.00 6.50 7.00
R2 903 -756 695 2 147 3 598 5 050 6 501 7 953
R3 003 -356 1 145 2 647 4 148 5 650 7 151 8 653
R3 103 44 1 595 3 147 4 698 6 250 7 801 9 353
R3 203 444 2 045 3 647 5 248 6 850 8 451 10 053
R3 303 844 2 495 4 147 5 798 7 450 9 101 10 753
R3 403 1 244 2 945 4 647 6 348 8 050 9 751 11 453
R3 503 1 644 3 395 5 147 6 898 8 650 10 401 12 153
R3 603 2 044 3 845 5 647 7 448 9 250 11 051 12 853
R3 703 2 444 4 295 6 147 7 998 9 850 11 701 13 553
Soybeans sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.25 1.50 1.75 2.00 2.25 2.50 2.75
R7 302 739 2 564 4 389 6 215 8 040 9 865 11 691
R7 402 864 2 714 4 564 6 415 8 265 10 115 11 966
R7 502 989 2 864 4 739 6 615 8 490 10 365 12 241
R7 602 1 114 3 014 4 914 6 815 8 715 10 615 12 516
R7 702 1 239 3 164 5 089 7 015 8 940 10 865 12 791
R7 802 1 364 3 314 5 264 7 215 9 165 11 115 13 066
R7 902 1 489 3 464 5 439 7 415 9 390 11 365 13 341
R8 002 1 614 3 614 5 614 7 615 9 615 11 615 13 616
R8 102 1 739 3 764 5 789 7 815 9 840 11 865 13 891
Sunflower sensitivity analysis
Yield (t/ha)
Producers price 1.00 1.25 1.50 1.80 2.00 2.25 2.50
R7 552 708 2 596 4 484 6 750 8 260 10 148 12 036
R7 652 808 2 721 4 634 6 930 8 460 10 373 12 286
R7 752 908 2 846 4 784 7 110 8 660 10 598 12 536
R7 852 1 008 2 971 4 934 7 290 8 860 10 823 12 786
R7 952 1 108 3 096 5 084 7 470 9 060 11 048 13 036
R8 052 1 208 3 221 5 234 7 650 9 260 11 273 13 286
R8 152 1 308 3 346 5 384 7 830 9 460 11 498 13 536
R8 252 1 408 3 471 5 534 8 010 9 660 11 723 13 786
R8 352 1 508 3 596 5 684 8 190 9 860 11 948 14 036
Soybeans margin above/below maize
Yield Price (R/ton)
R7 402 R7 502 R7 602 R7 702 R7 802 R7 902 R8 002
1.00 -6 785 -6 685 -6 585 -6 485 -6 385 -6 285 -6 185
1.25 -4 935 -4 810 -4 685 -4 560 -4 435 -4 310 -4 185
1.50 -3 085 -2 935 -2 785 -2 635 -2 485 -2 335 -2 185
1.75 -1 234 -1 059 -884 -709 -534 -359 -184
2.00 616 816 1 016 1 216 1 416 1 616 1 816
2.25 2 467 2 692 2 917 3 142 3 367 3 592 3 817
2.50 4 317 4 567 4 817 5 067 5 317 5 567 5 817
2.75 6 167 6 442 6 717 6 992 7 267 7 542 7 817
3.00 8 018 8 318 8 618 8 918 9 218 9 518 9 818

Notes

  • The cost items reflect the input allocation based on the target yield for the respective crops.
  • Although some expenditure items are zero, it is reflected in the budgets to allow for individual inclusion.
  • Other macro- and microelements such as calcium, magnesium and zinc are included in the fertiliser costs.
  • The cost of fuel includes pre-harvest and harvesting costs with the assumption that own machinery is used.
  • The cost for soybean seed reflects a combination of own and purchased seed.
  • There will be large fluctuations for insurance cost (hail) based on the associated risk in respective areas. It is advised that producers adjust this cost based on their individual premiums.
  • It is important to note that overhead costs are not included and should be accounted for.
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