Revised area planted estimate and second production forecast for summer crops for 2018 / Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2018

Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Second forecast Tweede skatting |
First forecast Eerste skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | ||
Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
(A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
White maize / Witmielies | 1 268 100 | 6 363 100 | 6 108 000 | 1 643 100 | 9 916 000 | +4.2 |
Yellow maize / Geelmielies | 1 050 750 | 6 057 400 | 6 114 950 | 985 500 | 6 904 000 | -0.9 |
Total Maize / Totale Mielies | 2 318 850 | 12 420 500 | 12 222 950 | 2 628 600 | 16 820 000 | +1.6 |
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad | 601 500 | 749 205 | 731 505 | 635 750 | 874 000 | +2.4 |
Soybeans / Sojabone | 787 200 | 1 394 800 | 1 374 700 | 573 950 | 1 316 000 | +1.5 |
Groundnuts / Grondbone | 56 300 | 80 600 | 88 850 | 56 000 | 92 050 | -9.3 |
Sorghum | 28 800 | 84 750 | 78 200 | 42 350 | 152 000 | +8.4 |
Dry beans / Droëbone | 53 360 | 68 210 | 70 770 | 45 050 | 68 525 | -3.6 |
Total / Totaal | 3 846 010 | 14 798 065 | 14 566 975 | 3 981 700 | 19 322 575 | +1.6 |
Note: Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota: Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018
Production 2010-2018 Produksie
Production 2010-2018 Produksie
Production 2010-2018 Produksie
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant | Second forecast / Tweede skatting | Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant | Final estimate ¹ / Finale skatting ¹ | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | ||||||||
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
Ha | Ha | Ha | Tons | Tons | Tons | Ha | Ha | Ha | Tons | Tons | Tons |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | |||||||||||
0 | 3 750 | 3 750 | 0 | 33 750 | 33 750 | 200 | 2 000 | 2 200 | 2 000 | 20 000 | 22 000 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | |||||||||||
2 700 | 43 000 | 46 600 | 43 200 | 629 950 | 673 150 | 3 500 | 45 000 | 48 500 | 46 200 | 666 000 | 712 200 |
Free State / Vrystaat | |||||||||||
644 000 | 410 000 | 1 054 000 | 3 316 600 | 2 070 500 | 5 387 100 | 805 000 | 355 000 | 1 160 000 | 5 110 000 | 2 252 000 | 7 362 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | |||||||||||
3 500 | 11 000 | 14 500 | 21 700 | 71 500 | 93 200 | 4 400 | 9 500 | 13 900 | 30 800 | 66 500 | 97 300 |
KwaZulu-Natal | |||||||||||
45 000 | 50 000 | 95 000 | 288 000 | 375 000 | 663 000 | 50 000 | 50 000 | 100 000 | 350 000 | 390 000 | 740 000 |
Mpumalanga | |||||||||||
140 000 | 340 000 | 480 000 | 805 000 | 1 955 000 | 2 760 000 | 160 000 | 330 000 | 490 000 | 1 088 000 | 2 342 500 | 3 430 500 |
Limpopo | |||||||||||
12 000 | 21 000 | 33 000 | 81 600 | 136 500 | 218 100 | 40 000 | 24 000 | 64 000 | 300 000 | 192 000 | 492 000 |
Gauteng | |||||||||||
50 000 | 62 000 | 112 000 | 290 000 | 378 200 | 668 200 | 60 000 | 60 000 | 120 000 | 390 000 | 414 000 | 804 000 |
North West / Noordwes | |||||||||||
370 000 | 110 000 | 480 000 | 1 517 000 | 407 000 | 1 924 000 | 520 000 | 110 000 | 630 000 | 2 599 000 | 561 000 | 3 160 000 |
Total / Totaal | |||||||||||
1 268 100 | 1 050 750 | 2 318 850 | 6 363 100 | 6 057 400 | 12 420 500 | 1 643 100 | 985 500 | 2 628 600 | 9 916 000 | 6 904 000 | 16 820 000 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Second forecast Tweede skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 100 | 100 | - | - |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 1 600 | 1 920 | 250 | 400 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 314 000 | 423 900 | 330 000 | 478 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | - | - | - | - |
KwaZulu-Natal | - | - | 300 | 300 |
Mpumalanga | 2 300 | 2 185 | 2 200 | 2 300 |
Limpopo | 45 000 | 36 000 | 90 000 | 85 500 |
Gauteng | 5 500 | 5 500 | 3 000 | 3 000 |
North West / Noordwes | 233 000 | 279 600 | 210 000 | 304 500 |
Total / Totaal | 601 500 | 749 205 | 635 750 | 874 000 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Second forecast Tweede skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 800 | 1 200 | 700 | 1 050 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 3 000 | 9 000 | 3 000 | 10 500 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 345 000 | 517 500 | 240 000 | 504 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 2 400 | 2 400 | 1 850 | 2 775 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 40 000 | 124 000 | 30 500 | 89 605 |
Mpumalanga | 310 000 | 573 500 | 241 000 | 554 300 |
Limpopo | 20 000 | 55 000 | 8 500 | 29 750 |
Gauteng | 30 000 | 60 000 | 25 400 | 71 120 |
North West / Noordwes | 36 000 | 52 200 | 23 000 | 52 900 |
Total / Totaal | 787 200 | 1 394 800 | 573 950 | 1 316 000 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Second forecast Tweede skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | - | - | - | - |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 2 800 | 8 400 | 4 000 | 14 000 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 22 000 | 33 000 | 22 000 | 34 100 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | - | - | - | - |
KwaZulu-Natal | - | - | - | - |
Mpumalanga | - | - | - | - |
Limpopo | 3 500 | 7 000 | 3 000 | 4 800 |
Gauteng | - | - | - | - |
North West / Noordwes | 28 000 | 32 200 | 27 000 | 39 150 |
Total / Totaal | 56 300 | 80 600 | 56 000 | 92 050 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Second forecast Tweede skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 20 | 30 | 100 | 150 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 540 | 1 080 | 650 | 1 300 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 26 000 | 31 200 | 20 000 | 32 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 300 | 450 | 300 | 450 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 3 000 | 3 600 | 4 500 | 5 400 |
Mpumalanga | 7 000 | 9 800 | 5 500 | 8 525 |
Limpopo | 7 500 | 11 250 | 7 000 | 12 950 |
Gauteng | 1 000 | 1 200 | 1 500 | 2 250 |
North West / Noordwes | 8 000 | 9 600 | 5 500 | 5 500 |
Total / Totaal | 53 360 | 68 210 | 45 050 | 68 525 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Second forecast Tweede skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | - | - | - | - |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | - | - | - | - |
Free State / Vrystaat | 6 300 | 18 900 | 7 700 | 24 640 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | - | - | - | - |
KwaZulu-Natal | 500 | 1 750 | 400 | 1 520 |
Mpumalanga | 7 500 | 36 000 | 12 000 | 62 400 |
Limpopo | 5 000 | 6 000 | 18 000 | 50 400 |
Gauteng | 1 500 | 4 500 | 750 | 2 400 |
North West / Noordwes | 8 000 | 17 600 | 3 500 | 10 640 |
Total / Totaal | 28 800 | 84 750 | 42 350 | 152 000 |
Summer crops / Somergewasse
Revised area estimate and second production forecast (2018) / Hersiene oppervlakte- en tweede produksieskatting (2018)
Summer field crops – 2018
Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 12,420 million tons, which is 1,62% or 197 550 tons more than the previous forecast of 12,223 million tons. The area estimate for maize was increased by 16 150 ha to 2,319 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,36 t/ha.
The estimated maize crop is 26% smaller than the 2017 crop, which was the highest crop ever produced in the RSA. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 81% of the 2018 crop.
The area estimate for white maize is 1,268 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,051 million ha.
The production forecast of white maize is 6,363 million tons, which is 4,18% or 255 100 tons more than the 6,108 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,02 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,057 million tons, which is 0,94% or 57 550 tons less than the 6,115 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,76 t/ha.
Please note that information from the objective yield survey by the ARC for the Mpumalanga province will be available in April 2018; and for the Free State and North West provinces in May 2018. The current yield figures are mainly obtained from producers in the different provinces.
Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed is 749 205 tons, which is 2,42% or 17 700 tons more than the 731 505 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sunflower seed was increased by 16 600 ha to 601 500 ha, while the expected yield is 1,25 t/ha.
Other crops:
The production forecast for soybeans is 1,395 million tons, which is 1,46% or 20 100 tons more than the 1,375 million tons of the previous forecast. The estimated area planted to soybeans was increased by 11 900 ha to 787 200 ha and the expected yield is 1,77 t/ha.
The expected groundnut crop is 80 600 tons, which is 9,29% or 8 250 tons less than the 88 850 tons of the last forecast. For groundnuts, the area estimate remained unchanged at 56 300 ha, with an expected yield of 1,43 t/ha.
The production forecast for sorghum is 84 750 tons, which is 8,38% or 6 550 tons more than the 78 200 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum was increased by 4 000 ha to 28 800 ha and the expected yield is 2,94 t/ha.
In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 68 210 tons, which is 3,62% or 2 560 tons less than the 70 770 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate of dry beans was decreased by 3 240 ha to 53 360 ha, with an expected yield of 1,28 t/ha.
Please note that the third production forecast for summer field crops for 2018 will be released on 25 April 2018.
Information is available on the internet at:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Somergewasse – 2018
Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 12,420 miljoen ton gestel, wat 1,62% of 197 550 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 12,223 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies het met 16 150 ha toegeneem na 2,319 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,36 t/ha is.
Die geskatte mielie-oes is 26% kleiner as die 2017-oes, wat die grootste oes was wat die RSA nog ooit geproduseer het. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 81% van die 2018-oes produseer.
Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,268 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 1,051 miljoen ha.
Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,363 miljoen ton, 4,18% of 255 100 ton meer is as die 6,108 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,02 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,057 miljoen ton, wat 0,94% of 57 550 ton minder is as die 6,115 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,76 t/ha.
Neem kennis dat inligting van die objektiewe opbrengs-opname van die LNR vir die Mpumalanga provinsie, in April 2018 gerapporteer word en vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies in Mei 2018. Die huidige opbrengs syfers is hoofsaaklik verkry vanaf produsente in die verskillende provinsies.
Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 749 205 ton, wat 2,42% of 17 700 ton meer is as die 731 505 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is opwaarts aangepas met 16 600 ha na 601 500 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,25 t/ha is.
Ander gewasse:
Die produksieskatting van sojabone is 1,395 miljoen ton, wat 1,46% of 20 100 ton meer is as die 1,375 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is opwaarts aangepas met 11 900 ha na 787 200 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,77 t/ha.
Die verwagte grondbone-oes is 80 6000 ton, wat 9,29% of 8 250 ton minder is as die 88 850 ton van die vorige skatting. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting onveranderd gelaat op 56 300 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,43 t/ha is.
Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 84 750 ton, wat 8,38% of 6 550 ton meer is as die 78 200 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is opwaarts aangepas met 4 000 ha na 28 800 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 2,94 t/ha.
In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 68 210 ton, wat 3,62% of 2 560 ton minder is as die 70 770 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is verminder met 3 240 ha na 53 360 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,28 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die derde produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2017, op 25 April 2018 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting
- Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
- No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
- The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
- No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
- Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
- Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
- Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.