The area planted estimate and fourth production forecast for summer crops for 2018
Summer crops
- Notes / Aantekeninge
- Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies
- Graph: Non-commercial maize area /
Grafiek: Nie-kommersiële mielie-oppervlaktes - Graph: Non-commercial maize production /
Grafiek: Nie-kommersiële mielieproduksie
Syfers deur die Oesskattingskomitee verskaf
Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Third forecast Derde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | ||
Ha | Tons | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
(A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (E) | (B) ÷ (C) | |
Commercial / Kommersieël | ||||||
White maize / Witmielies | 1 268 100 | 6 701 260 | 6 629 660 | 1 643 100 | 9 916 000 | +1.1 |
Yellow maize / Geelmielies | 1 050 750 | 6 207 350 | 6 197 150 | 985 500 | 6 904 000 | +0.2 |
Total Maize / Totale Mielies | 2 318 850 | 12 908 610 | 12 826 810 | 2 628 600 | 16 820 000 | +0.6 |
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad | 601 500 | 792 255 | 792 255 | 635 750 | 874 000 | – |
Soybeans / Sojabone | 787 200 | 1 430 300 | 1 430 300 | 573 950 | 1 316 000 | – |
Groundnuts / Grondbone | 56 300 | 68 400 | 80 600 | 56 000 | 92 050 | -15.1 |
Sorghum | 28 800 | 83 070 | 84 750 | 42 350 | 152 000 | -2.0 |
Dry beans / Droëbone | 53 360 | 65 610 | 65 610 | 45 050 | 68 525 | – |
Non-commercial maize / Nie-kommersiële mielies | ||||||
Total maize / Totaal mielies | 314 835 | 593 975 | 593 975 | 366 650 | 731 000 | – |
Maize: commercial + non-commercial / Mielies: kommersieël + nie-kommersieël | ||||||
Total maize RSA / Totaal mielies RSA | 2 633 685 | 13 502 585 | 13 420 785 | 2 995 250 | 17 551 000 | +0.6 |
Note: Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2017/18 = 2018
Nota: Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, bv. produksie-seisoen 2017/18 = 2018
Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant | Fourth forecast / Vierde skatting | Area planted / Oppervlakte beplant | Final crop ¹ / Finale oes ¹ | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | ||||||||
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
White Wit |
Yellow Geel |
Total Totaal |
Ha | Ha | Ha | Tons | Tons | Tons | Ha | Ha | Ha | Tons | Tons | Tons |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | |||||||||||
0 | 3 750 | 3 750 | 0 | 33 750 | 33 750 | 200 | 2 000 | 2 200 | 2 000 | 20 000 | 22 000 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | |||||||||||
3 600 | 43 000 | 46 600 | 41 760 | 636 400 | 678 160 | 3 500 | 45 000 | 48 500 | 46 200 | 666 000 | 712 200 |
Free State / Vrystaat | |||||||||||
644 000 | 410 000 | 1 054 000 | 3 445 400 | 2 070 500 | 5 515 900 | 805 000 | 355 000 | 1 160 000 | 5 110 000 | 2 252 000 | 7 362 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | |||||||||||
3 500 | 11 000 | 14 500 | 21 700 | 71 500 | 93 200 | 4 400 | 9 500 | 13 900 | 30 800 | 66 500 | 97 300 |
KwaZulu-Natal | |||||||||||
45 000 | 50 000 | 95 000 | 292 500 | 390 000 | 682 500 | 50 000 | 50 000 | 100 000 | 350 000 | 390 000 | 740 000 |
Mpumalanga | |||||||||||
140 000 | 340 000 | 480 000 | 840 000 | 2 040 000 | 2 880 000 | 160 000 | 330 000 | 490 000 | 1 088 000 | 2 342 500 | 3 430 500 |
Limpopo | |||||||||||
12 000 | 21 000 | 33 000 | 86 400 | 147 000 | 233 400 | 40 000 | 24 000 | 64 000 | 300 000 | 192 000 | 492 000 |
Gauteng | |||||||||||
50 000 | 62 000 | 112 000 | 290 000 | 378 200 | 668 200 | 60 000 | 60 000 | 120 000 | 390 000 | 414 000 | 804 000 |
North West / Noordwes | |||||||||||
370 000 | 110 000 | 480 000 | 1 683 500 | 440 000 | 2 123 500 | 520 000 | 110 000 | 630 000 | 2 599 000 | 561 000 | 3 160 000 |
Total / Totaal | |||||||||||
1 268 100 | 1 050 750 | 2 318 850 | 6 701 260 | 6 207 350 | 12 908 610 | 1 643 100 | 985 500 | 2 628 600 | 9 916 000 | 6 904 000 | 16 820 000 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 100 | 100 | – | – |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 1 600 | 1 920 | 250 | 400 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 314 000 | 455 300 | 330 000 | 478 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
KwaZulu-Natal | – | – | 300 | 300 |
Mpumalanga | 2 300 | 2 185 | 2 200 | 2 300 |
Limpopo | 45 000 | 36 000 | 90 000 | 85 500 |
Gauteng | 5 500 | 5 500 | 3 000 | 3 000 |
North West / Noordwes | 233 000 | 291 250 | 210 000 | 304 500 |
Total / Totaal | 601 500 | 792 255 | 635 750 | 874 000 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 800 | 1 200 | 700 | 1 050 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 3 000 | 9 900 | 3 000 | 10 500 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 345 000 | 517 500 | 240 000 | 504 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 2 400 | 2 400 | 1 850 | 2 775 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 40 000 | 124 000 | 30 500 | 89 605 |
Mpumalanga | 310 000 | 604 500 | 241 000 | 554 300 |
Limpopo | 20 000 | 55 000 | 8 500 | 29 750 |
Gauteng | 30 000 | 60 000 | 25 400 | 71 120 |
North West / Noordwes | 36 000 | 55 800 | 23 000 | 52 900 |
Total / Totaal | 787 200 | 1 430 300 | 573 950 | 1 316 000 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 2 800 | 7 000 | 4 000 | 14 000 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 22 000 | 26 400 | 22 000 | 34 100 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
KwaZulu-Natal | – | – | – | – |
Mpumalanga | – | – | – | – |
Limpopo | 3 500 | 7 000 | 3 000 | 4 800 |
Gauteng | – | – | – | – |
North West / Noordwes | 28 000 | 28 000 | 27 000 | 39 150 |
Total / Totaal | 56 300 | 68 400 | 56 000 | 92 050 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | 20 | 30 | 100 | 150 |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | 540 | 1 080 | 650 | 1 300 |
Free State / Vrystaat | 26 000 | 28 600 | 20 000 | 32 000 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | 300 | 450 | 300 | 450 |
KwaZulu-Natal | 3 000 | 3 600 | 4 500 | 5 400 |
Mpumalanga | 7 000 | 9 800 | 5 500 | 8 525 |
Limpopo | 7 500 | 11 250 | 7 000 | 12 950 |
Gauteng | 1 000 | 1 200 | 1 500 | 2 250 |
North West / Noordwes | 8 000 | 9 600 | 5 500 | 5 500 |
Total / Totaal | 53 360 | 65 610 | 45 050 | 68 525 |
Province / Provinsie | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Fourth forecast Vierde skatting |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | |
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | |
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
Free State / Vrystaat | 6 300 | 18 270 | 7 700 | 24 640 |
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap | – | – | – | – |
KwaZulu-Natal | 500 | 1 500 | 400 | 1 520 |
Mpumalanga | 7 500 | 36 000 | 12 000 | 62 400 |
Limpopo | 5 000 | 6 000 | 18 000 | 50 400 |
Gauteng | 1 500 | 4 500 | 750 | 2 400 |
North West / Noordwes | 8 000 | 16 800 | 3 500 | 10 640 |
Total / Totaal | 28 800 | 83 070 | 42 350 | 152 000 |
Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and fourth production forecast (2018) / Oppervlakte- en vierde produksieskatting (2018)
Summer field crops – 2018
Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 12,909 million tons, which is 0,64% or 81 800 tons more than the previous forecast of 12,827 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,319 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,57 t/ha.
The estimated maize crop is 23% smaller than the 2017 crop, which was the highest crop ever (16,820 million tons). The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 81% of the 2018 crop.
The area estimate for white maize is 1,268 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 1,051 million ha.
The production forecast of white maize is 6,701 million tons, which is 1,08% or 71 600 tons more than the 6,630 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,28 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,207 million tons, which is 0,16% or 10 200 tons more than the 6,197 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 5,91 t/ha.
The yield per ha for the Free State and North West provinces was based on scientific and objective results provided by the Agricultural Research Council (ARC).
Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 792 255 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 601 500 ha and the expected yield is 1,32 t/ha.
Other crops:
The production forecast for soybeans also remained unchanged at 1,430 million tons, which is the largest soybean crop produced in the history of SA. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 787 200 ha and the expected yield is 1,82 t/ha.
The expected groundnut crop was decreased by 15,14% or 12 200 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 56 300 ha and the expected yield is 1,21 t/ha.
The production forecast for sorghum was also adjusted downwards by 1,98% or 1 680 tons, from 84 750 tons to 83 070 tons. The area estimate for sorghum is 28 800 ha. The expected yield is 2,88 t/ha.
In the case of dry beans, the production forecast remained unchanged at 65 610 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 53360 ha, with an expected yield of 1,23 t/ha.
Please note that the fifth production forecast for summer field crops for 2018 will be released on 27 June 2018.
Information is available on the internet at:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development or:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.
Somergewasse – 2018
Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 12,909 miljoen ton gestel, wat 0,64% of 81 800 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 12,827 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,319 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,57 t/ha is.
Die geskatte mielie-oes is 23% kleiner as die 2017-oes, wat die grootste oes nog ooit was (16,820 miljoen ton). Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 81% van die 2018-oes produseer.
Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,268 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 1,051 miljoen ha.
Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 6,701 miljoen ton, wat 1,08% of 71 600 ton meer is as die 6,630 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,28 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,207 miljoen ton, wat 0,16% of 10 200 ton meer is as die 6,197 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 5,91 t/ha.
Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR.
Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonneblomsaad is onveranderd gelaat op 792 255 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 601 500 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,32 t/ha is.
Ander gewasse:
Die produksieskatting van sojabone is ook onveranderd gelaat op 1,430 miljoen ton, wat die grootste sojaboon-oes is wat nόg geproduseer is in die geskiedenis van SA. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant met sojabone is 787 200 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,82 t/ha.
Die verwagte grondbone-oes is afwaarts aangepas met 15,14% of 12 200 ton. Vir grondbone is die oppervlakteskatting 56 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,21 t/ha is.
Die produksieskatting van sorghum is ook afwaarts aangepas met 1,98% of 1 680 ton, vanaf 84 750 ton na 83 070 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met sorghum is 28 800 ha. Die verwagte opbrengs is 2,88 t/ha.
In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting onveranderd gelaat op 65 610 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 53 360 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,23 t/ha.
Neem asseblief kennis dat die vyfde produksieskatting vir somergewasse vir 2018, op 27 Junie 2018 vrygestel sal word.
Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development" target="_blank">Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development of by:
SAGIS/" target="_blank">SAGIS, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.
Crop / Gewas | Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Production Produksie |
Area planted Oppervlakte beplant |
Final crop Finale oes |
Change Verandering |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 2018 | 2017 | 2017 | ||
Ha | Tons | Ha | Tons | % | |
(A) | (B) | (C) | (D) | (B) ÷ (D) | |
Non-commercial agriculture / Nie-kommersiële landbou | |||||
White maize / Witmielies | 236 644 | 414 162 | 248 500 | 463 600 | -10.66 |
Yellow maize / Geelmielies | 78 191 | 179 813 | 118 150 | 267 400 | -32.76 |
Maize / Mielies | 314 835 | 593 975 | 366 650 | 731 000 | -18.74 |
The preliminary area planted to maize in the non-commercial agricultural sector is estimated at 314 835 ha, which represents a decrease of 14,13%, compared to the 366 650 ha of the previous season. The expected maize crop for this sector is 593 975 tons, which is 18,74% less than the 731 000 tons of last season. It is important to note that about 40% of the maize produced in the non-commercial sector, is planted in the Eastern Cape.
Die voorlopige oppervlakte beplant met mielies in die nie-kommersiële landbou-sektor word geskat op 314 835 ha, wat 'n afname van 14,13% verteenwoordig in vergelyking met die 366 650 ha van die vorige seisoen. Die verwagte mielie-oes van dié sektor is 593 975 ton, wat 18,74% minder is as die 731 000 ton van die vorige seisoen. Dit is belangrik om daarop te let dat ongeveer 40% van die mielies wat geproduseer word in die nie-kommersiële sektor, in die Oos-Kaap geplant word.
CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting
- Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
- No member is allowed to leave the meeting before 12:00 in order to prevent disclosure of the information.
- The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
- No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
- Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
- Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
- Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.