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OPDT   OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST
OAC   OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE

OPDT
OIL & PROTEIN SEEDS DEVELOPMENT TRUST

OAC
OILSEEDS ADVISORY COMMITTEE


Area planted and third production forecast for summer crops and intentions to plant winter cereals (2020)
Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting vir somergewasse en voorneme om wintergewasse te plant (2020)

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area planted and third production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Crop / Gewas Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Second forecast
Tweede skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Change
Verandering
2020 2020 2020 2019 2019
Ha Tons Tons Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (B) ÷ (C)
Commercial / Kommersieël
  White maize / Witmielies 1 616 300 8 779 470 8 523 465 1 298 400 5 545 000 +3.00
  Yellow maize / Geelmielies 994 500 6 442 050 6 285 885 1 002 100 5 730 000 +2.48
Total Maize / Totale Mielies 2 610 800 15 221 520 14 809 350 2 300 500 11 275 000 +2.78
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad 500 300 731 210 731 210 515 350 678 000
Soybeans / Sojabone 705 000 1 290 750 1 269 150 730 500 1 170 345 +1.70
Groundnuts / Grondbone 37 500 62 470 56 060 20 050 19 400 +11.43
Sorghum 42 500 138 885 132 810 50 500 127 000 +4.57
Dry beans / Droëbone 50 150 71 380 72 910 59 300 66 355 -2.10
Total / Totaal 3 946 250 17 516 215 17 071 490 3 676 200 13 336 100 +2.61

Note:  Estimate is for calendar year, for example production season 2019/2020 = 2020
Nota:  Skatting is vir kalenderjaar, byvoorbeeld produksie-seisoen 2019/2020 = 2020

White maize 2020 Witmielies
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
White maize production 2010-2020
Yellow maize 2020 Geelmielies
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Yellow maize production 2010-2020
Total maize 2020 Totale mielies
Production   2010-2020   Produksie
Total maize production 2010-2020
White and Yellow maize / Wit- en Geelmielies
Area planted and third production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
2020 2020 2019 2019
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
White
Wit
Yellow
Geel
Total
Totaal
Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons Ha Ha Ha Tons Tons Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200 400 3 400 3 800 3 600 30 600 34 200
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
3 400 43 100 46 500 40 120 624 950 665 070 3 400 43 500 46 900 39 500 630 750 670 250
Free State / Vrystaat
855 000 365 000 1 220 000 4 788 000 2 044 000 6 832 000 650 000 380 000 1 030 000 2 795 000 1 758 000 4 553 000
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
5 500 17 000 22 500 36 300 119 000 155 300 3 800 10 200 14 000 23 000 69 750 92 750
KwaZulu-Natal
47 000 55 000 102 000 310 200 429 000 739 200 45 000 54 000 99 000 270 000 399 600 669 600
Mpumalanga
160 000 353 000 513 000 952 000 2 294 500 3 246 500 145 000 338 000 483 000 797 500 1 977 300 2 774 800
Limpopo
15 000 18 000 33 000 105 000 126 000 231 000 12 800 18 000 30 800 83 200 117 000 200 200
Gauteng
55 000 50 000 105 000 335 500 315 000 650 500 48 000 60 000 108 000 259 200 348 000 607 200
North West / Noordwes
475 000 90 000 565 000 2 208 750 459 000 2 667 750 390 000 95 000 485 000 1 274 000 399 000 1 673 000
Total / Totaal
1 616 300 994 500 2 610 800 8 779 470 6 442 050 15 221 520 1 298 400 1 002 100 2 300 500 5 545 000 5 730 000 11 275 000
Sunflower seed / Sonneblomsaad
Area planted and third production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 1 440 950 1 140
Free State / Vrystaat 260 000 416 000 270 000 391 500
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 300 750 100 260
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga 2 800 3 920 4 500 4 500
Limpopo 65 000 61 750 61 000 61 000
Gauteng 4 000 5 200 3 800 3 800
North West / Noordwes 167 000 242 150 175 000 215 800
Total / Totaal 500 300 731 210 515 350 678 000
Soybeans / Sojabone
Area planted and third production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 10
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 2 000 7 000 1 550 5 425
Free State / Vrystaat 315 000 535 500 301 000 391 300
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 1 500 3 000 1 150 1 380
KwaZulu-Natal 35 000 105 000 33 000 99 000
Mpumalanga 260 000 442 000 310 000 511 500
Limpopo 15 500 48 050 16 200 46 980
Gauteng 36 000 70 200 31 500 66 150
North West / Noordwes 40 000 80 000 36 000 48 600
Total / Totaal 705 000 1 290 750 730 500 1 170 345
Groundnuts / Grondbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 1 200 3 300 1 200 2 520
Free State / Vrystaat 11 000 20 350 8 000 9 775
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal
Mpumalanga
Limpopo 2 900 5 220 1 850 3 530
Gauteng
North West / Noordwes 22 400 33 600 9 000 3 575
Total / Totaal 37 500 62 470 20 050 19 400
Dry beans / Droëbone
Area planted and third production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 100 150 100 180
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 350 700 1 000 1 400
Free State / Vrystaat 24 000 31 200 27 000 28 350
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 200 300 400 720
KwaZulu-Natal 2 900 3 770 3 500 4 025
Mpumalanga 6 600 8 580 7 500 6 750
Limpopo 8 400 16 800 7 800 12 480
Gauteng 600 780 1 500 1 950
North West / Noordwes 7 000 9 100 10 500 10 500
Total / Totaal 50 150 71 380 59 300 66 355
Sorghum
Area planted and third production forecast  2020  Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting
Province / Provinsie Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Third forecast
Derde skatting
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final crop
Finale oes
Ha Tons Ha Tons
2020 2020 2019 2019
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap
Free State / Vrystaat 8 000 29 600 8 000 23 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap
KwaZulu-Natal 1 200 3 000 500 1 500
Mpumalanga 8 500 41 650 7 500 36 000
Limpopo 16 000 35 200 25 000 46 125
Gauteng 300 960 1 000 3 200
North West / Noordwes 8 500 28 475 8 500 16 575
Total / Totaal 42 500 138 885 50 500 127 000

Summer crops / Somergewasse
Area estimate and third production forecast (2020) Oppervlakte- en derde produksieskatting

Summer field crops – 2020

Commercial maize: The size of the expected commercial maize crop has been set at 15,222 million tons, which is 2,78% or 412 170 tons more than the previous forecast of 14,809 million tons. The area estimate for maize is 2,611 million ha, while the expected yield is 5,83 t/ha.

The estimated maize crop is 35% bigger than the 2019 crop. The three main maize producing areas, namely the Free State, Mpumalanga and North West provinces are expected to produce 84% of the 2020 crop.

The area estimate for white maize is 1,616 million ha and for yellow maize the area estimate is 994 500 ha.

The production forecast of white maize is 8,779 million tons, which is 3,00% or 256 005 tons more than the 8,523 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for white maize is 5,43 t/ha. In the case of yellow maize the production forecast is 6,442 million tons, which is 2,48% or 156 165 tons more than the 6,286 million tons of the previous forecast. The yield for yellow maize is 6,48 t/ha.

The yield per ha for the Mpumalanga province was based on scientific and objective results provided by the ARC. Please note that the objective results for the Free State and North West provinces will be available in May 2020.

Sunflower seed: The production forecast for sunflower seed remained unchanged at 731 210 tons. The area estimate for sunflower seed is 500 300 ha, while the expected yield is 1,46 t/ha.

Other crops

The production forecast for soybeans increased by 1,70% or 21 600 tons to 1,291 million tons. The estimated area planted to soybeans is 705 000 ha and the expected yield is 1,83 t/ha.

The expected groundnut crop has been set at 62 470 tons, which is 11,43% or 6 410 tons more than the previous forecast of 56 060 tons. For groundnuts, the area estimate is 37 500 ha, with an expected yield of 1,67 t/ha.

The production forecast for sorghum is 138 885 tons, which is 4,57% or 6 075 tons more than the 132 810 tons of the previous forecast. The area estimate for sorghum is 42 500 ha and the expected yield is 3,27 t/ha.

In the case of dry beans, the production forecast is 71 380 tons. The area estimate of dry beans is 50 150 ha, with an expected yield of 1,42 t/ha.


Please note that the fourth production forecast for summer field crops for 2020 will be released on 27 May 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 14:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Somergewasse – 2020

Kommersiële mielies: Die grootte van die verwagte kommersiële mielie-oes is op 15,222 miljoen ton gestel, wat 2,78% of 412 170 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 14,809 miljoen ton. Die skatting van die oppervlakte onder mielies is 2,611 miljoen ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 5,83 t/ha is.

Die geskatte mielie-oes is 35% groter as die 2019-oes. Die drie belangrikste mielieproduserende gebiede, naamlik die Vrystaat, Mpumalanga en Noordwes provinsies, gaan na verwagting 84% van die 2020-oes produseer.

Die oppervlak onder witmielies is 1,616 miljoen ha en vir geelmielies is die oppervlak 994 500 ha.

Die produksieskatting van witmielies is 8,779 miljoen ton, 3,00% of 256 005 ton meer as die 8,523 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van witmielies is 5,43 t/ha. In die geval van geelmielies is die produksieskatting 6,442 miljoen ton, wat 2,48% of 156 165 ton meer is as die 6,286 miljoen ton van die vorige skatting. Die opbrengs van geelmielies is 6,48 t/ha.

Die opbrengs-bepaling per ha vir die Mpumalanga provinsie is gebaseer op wetenskaplike en objektiewe resultate verstrek deur die LNR. Neem kennis dat die objektiewe resultate vir die Vrystaat en Noordwes provinsies, in Mei 2020 gerapporteer sal word.

Sonneblomsaad: Die produksieskatting vir sonne­blomsaad is onveranderd gelaat op 731 210 ton. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sonneblomsaad is 500 300 ha, terwyl die verwagte opbrengs 1,46 t/ha is.

Ander gewasse

Die produksieskatting van sojabone is verhoog met 1,70% of 21 600 ton na 1,291 miljoen ton. Die geskatte oppervlakte beplant van sojabone is 705 000 ha en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,83 t/ha.

Die verwagte grondbone-oes is op 62 470 ton gestel, wat 11,43% of 6 410 ton meer is as die vorige skatting van 56 060 ton. Vir grondbone is die opper­vlakte­skatting 37 500 ha, terwyl the verwagte opbrengs 1,67 t/ha is.

Die produksieskatting van sorghum is 138 885 ton, wat 4,57% of 6 075 ton meer is as die 132 810 ton van die vorige skatting. Die oppervlakteskatting vir sorghum is 42 500 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 3,27 t/ha.

In die geval van droëbone is die produksieskatting 71 380 ton. Die oppervlakte beplant met droëbone is 50 150 ha, en die verwagte opbrengs is 1,42 t/ha.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die vierde produksie­skatting vir somergewasse vir 2020, op 27 Mei 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 14:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

Winter cereals / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant  2020  Voorneme om te plant
Crop / Gewas Intentions¹
Voorneme¹
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
Change / Verandering
2020 2019 2019
Ha Ha Tons %
(A) (B) (C) (A) ÷ (B)
Commercial / Kommersieël
Wheat / Koring 495 000 540 000 1 501 675 -8.33
Malting barley / Moutgars 137 000 131 960 345 080 +3.82
Canola 72 000 74 000 96 200 -2.70
Cereal oats / Hawermout 23 500 21 000 15 540 +11.90

¹  Based on conditions at the middle of April 2020 / Gebaseer op toestande soos teen middel April 2020.

Wheat / Koring
Intentions to plant  2020  Voorneme om te plant
Province / Provinsie Intentions
Voorneme
Area planted
Oppervlakte beplant
Final estimate
Finale skatting
2020 2019 2019
Ha Ha Tons
Western Cape / Wes-Kaap 320 000 325 000 633 750
Northern Cape / Noord-Kaap 35 500 37 500 262 500
Free State / Vrystaat 90 000 128 000 313 600
Eastern Cape / Oos-Kaap 3 200 3 100 15 500
KwaZulu-Natal 7 800 7 500 45 750
Mpumalanga 3 500 4 000 25 200
Limpopo 21 000 20 000 118 000
Gauteng 1 000 1 400 8 400
North West / Noordwes 13 000 13 500 78 975
Total / Totaal 495 000 540 000 1 501 675
Wheat / Koring
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to wheat from 2010 to 2019
Malting barley / Moutgars
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to malting barley from 2010 to 2019
Canola
Area planted   2010-2020   Oppervlakte beplant
Area planted to canola from 2010 to 2019

Winter cereal crops / Wintergewasse
Intentions to plant winter crops for 2020 / Voorneme om wintergewasse aan te plant vir 2020

Winter cereal crops – 2020

Wheat

Producers' intentions to plant winter cereals are based on the results of a non-probability survey conducted by the Directorate: Statistics and Economic Analysis of the Department of Agriculture, Land Reform and Rural Development and reflects the position as at the middle of April 2020.

The figures for wheat represent the total number of hectares that are intended to be planted for grain, excluding any hectares that will be planted for fodder and grazing.

Early indications are that producers intend to plant 495 000 ha of wheat for the 2020 production season. This is 8,33% or 45 000 ha less than the 540 000 ha planted to wheat in 2019.

The main producing areas are within the Western Cape with 320 000 ha (65%), followed by the Free State with 90 000 ha (18%) and the Northern Cape with 35 500 ha (7%).

The expected area planted to malting barley is 137 000 ha, which is 3,82% or 5 040 ha more than the 131 960 ha of the previous year. The expected area planted to canola is 72 000 ha, which is 2,70% or 2 000 ha less than the 74 000 ha planted in 2019. Producers intend to plant 23 500 ha of cereal oats, which is 11,90 or 2 500 ha more than the 21 000 ha of the previous season.


Please note that the preliminary area estimate of winter crops for 2020 will be released on 29 July 2020.

Information is available on the internet at:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates or:
www.sagis.org.za, as from 15:30 on the date of the relevant meeting of the Crop Estimates Committee.

Wintergewasse – 2020

Koring

Produsente se voorneme om wintergewasse te plant is gebaseer op die resultate van 'n nie-ewekansige opname onderneem deur die Direktoraat: Statistiek en Ekonomiese Analise van die Departement van Landbou, Grondhervorming en Landelike Ontwikkeling en weerspieël die situasie teen die middel van April 2020.

Die syfers vir koring verteenwoordig die totale aantal hektare wat werklik beplant gaan word vir graan, uitgesluit alle hektare wat beplant gaan word vir groenvoer en weiding.

Vroeë aanduidings is dat produsente van voorneme is om 495 000 ha koring te plant vir die 2020-produksie-seisoen. Dit is 8,33% of 45 000 ha minder koring aangeplant as die 540 000 ha in 2019.

Die grootste produserende gebiede is in die Wes-Kaap, met 320 000 ha (65%), gevolg deur die Vrystaat met 90 000 ha (18%) en die Noord-Kaap met 35 500 ha (7%).

Die verwagte aanplantings van moutgars is 137 000 ha – 3,82% of 5 040 ha meer as die 131 960 ha van die vorige jaar. Die verwagte aanplantings van kanola is 72 000 ha, wat 2,70% of 2 000 ha minder is as die 74 000 ha wat aangeplant was in 2019. Produsente is van voorneme om 23 500 ha hawermout te plant, wat 11,90% of 2 500 ha meer is as die 21 000 ha van die vorige seisoen.


Neem asseblief kennis dat die voorlopige opper­vlakteskatting vir wintergewasse vir 2020 op 29 Julie 2020 vrygestel sal word.

Inligting is beskikbaar op die internet by:
www.daff.gov.za/daffweb3/Home/Crop-Estimates of by:
www.sagis.org.za, vanaf 15:30 op die dag van die toepaslike vergadering van die Oesskattingskomitee.

CONFIDENTIALITY ISSUES that CEC members are committed to adhere to on the day of the meeting

  • Personal items such as laptops, handbags, cell phones, etc. are not allowed in the venue during the meeting.
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  • The embargo time for the release of crop estimates information is 15:30.
  • No member is allowed to discuss crop estimates information with anyone other than a member of the Committee before the embargo time.
  • Only the Chairperson, or a member appointed by the Chairperson, may release the figures to the media.
  • Members must regard the detail of any information that was collected for and/or discussed during the meeting, as confidential.
  • Individual information received for crop estimate purposes is treated strictly confidential, and is not divulged for any other purposes.